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System dynamics model analysis of pathway to 4th generation district heating in Latvia

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  • Ziemele, Jelena
  • Gravelsins, Armands
  • Blumberga, Andra
  • Vigants, Girts
  • Blumberga, Dagnija

Abstract

In the article, a possibility to introduce the 4th generation district heating (4GDH) in Latvia is analyzed with the system dynamic modeling. Three policy instruments were included into the system dynamic model: subsidies, instrument for risk reduction and instrument for efficiency increase, and their impact on the system operation was analyzed. Six development scenarios are examined in the article, two of which are supplemented with the transition of heat network to the low-temperature regime at a different share of the renewable energy (60%, 80%, 95%).

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  • Ziemele, Jelena & Gravelsins, Armands & Blumberga, Andra & Vigants, Girts & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2016. "System dynamics model analysis of pathway to 4th generation district heating in Latvia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 85-94.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:110:y:2016:i:c:p:85-94
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.11.073
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    Cited by:

    1. Volkova, A. & Koduvere, H. & Pieper, H., 2022. "Large-scale heat pumps for district heating systems in the Baltics: Potential and impact," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    2. Milad Khosravi & Ahmad Arabkoohsar, 2019. "Thermal-Hydraulic Performance Analysis of Twin-Pipes for Various Future District Heating Schemes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Pakere, Ieva & Gravelsins, Armands & Lauka, Dace & Bazbauers, Gatis & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2021. "Linking energy efficiency policies toward 4th generation district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    4. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
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    6. Ziemele, Jelena & Gravelsins, Armands & Blumberga, Andra & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2017. "Sustainability of heat energy tariff in district heating system: Statistic and dynamic methodologies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 834-845.
    7. Ziemele, Jelena & Gendelis, Stanislavs & Dace, Elina, 2023. "Impact of global warming and building renovation on the heat demand and district heating capacity: Case of the city of Riga," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    8. Liu, Dunnan & Zhao, Weidong & Li, Zhihao & Xu, Xiaofeng & Xiao, Bowen & Niu, Dongxiao, 2018. "Can hydropower develop as expected in China? A scenario analysis based on system dynamics model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 118-129.
    9. Søren Djørup & Karl Sperling & Steffen Nielsen & Poul Alborg Østergaard & Jakob Zinck Thellufsen & Peter Sorknæs & Henrik Lund & David Drysdale, 2020. "District Heating Tariffs, Economic Optimisation and Local Strategies during Radical Technological Change," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-15, March.
    10. Arabkoohsar, A., 2019. "Non-uniform temperature district heating system with decentralized heat pumps and standalone storage tanks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 931-941.
    11. Ling Cheng & Zesheng Yu & Shiyao Xia & Shixuan Li & Ye Li & Huan Zhang & Bin Li & Sirui Zhang & Zijian Liu & Wandong Zheng, 2022. "Evaluation and Optimization of heat Pump Combined District Heating System: A Case Study of China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-24, October.
    12. Anna Grzegórska & Piotr Rybarczyk & Valdas Lukoševičius & Joanna Sobczak & Andrzej Rogala, 2021. "Smart Asset Management for District Heating Systems in the Baltic Sea Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-25, January.
    13. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Bidokhti, Abbas & Fakhrzad, Mohammad-Bagher & Sadegheih, Ahmad & Zare Mehrjerdi, Yahia, 2022. "A new model for the use of renewable electricity to reduce carbon dioxide emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    14. Marco Pellegrini & Augusto Bianchini, 2018. "The Innovative Concept of Cold District Heating Networks: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, January.
    15. Averfalk, Helge & Werner, Sven, 2018. "Novel low temperature heat distribution technology," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 526-539.
    16. Pakere, Ieva & Lauka, Dace & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2018. "Solar power and heat production via photovoltaic thermal panels for district heating and industrial plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 424-432.
    17. Volkova, Anna & Mašatin, Vladislav & Siirde, Andres, 2018. "Methodology for evaluating the transition process dynamics towards 4th generation district heating networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 253-261.
    18. Moallemi, A. & Arabkoohsar, A. & Pujatti, F.J.P. & Valle, R.M. & Ismail, K.A.R., 2019. "Non-uniform temperature district heating system with decentralized heat storage units, a reliable solution for heat supply," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 80-91.
    19. Ziemele, Jelena & Gravelsins, Armands & Blumberga, Andra & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2017. "Combining energy efficiency at source and at consumer to reach 4th generation district heating: Economic and system dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 595-606.
    20. Dermentzis, Georgios & Ochs, Fabian & Thuer, Alexander & Streicher, Wolfgang, 2021. "Supporting decision-making for heating and distribution systems in a new residential district - An Austrian case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    21. Knobloch, Florian & Pollitt, Hector & Chewpreecha, Unnada & Lewney, Richard & Huijbregts, Mark A.J. & Mercure, Jean-Francois, 2021. "FTT:Heat — A simulation model for technological change in the European residential heating sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    22. Ronelly De Souza & Emanuele Nadalon & Melchiorre Casisi & Mauro Reini, 2022. "Optimal Sharing Electricity and Thermal Energy Integration for an Energy Community in the Perspective of 100% RES Scenario," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-39, August.
    23. Ziemele, Jelena & Dace, Elina, 2022. "An analytical framework for assessing the integration of the waste heat into a district heating system: Case of the city of Riga," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    24. Birgit A. Henrich & Thomas Hoppe & Devin Diran & Zofia Lukszo, 2021. "The Use of Energy Models in Local Heating Transition Decision Making: Insights from Ten Municipalities in The Netherlands," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, January.

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