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System dynamics model analysis of pathway to 4th generation district heating in Latvia

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  • Ziemele, Jelena
  • Gravelsins, Armands
  • Blumberga, Andra
  • Vigants, Girts
  • Blumberga, Dagnija

Abstract

In the article, a possibility to introduce the 4th generation district heating (4GDH) in Latvia is analyzed with the system dynamic modeling. Three policy instruments were included into the system dynamic model: subsidies, instrument for risk reduction and instrument for efficiency increase, and their impact on the system operation was analyzed. Six development scenarios are examined in the article, two of which are supplemented with the transition of heat network to the low-temperature regime at a different share of the renewable energy (60%, 80%, 95%).

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  • Ziemele, Jelena & Gravelsins, Armands & Blumberga, Andra & Vigants, Girts & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2016. "System dynamics model analysis of pathway to 4th generation district heating in Latvia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 85-94.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:110:y:2016:i:c:p:85-94
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.11.073
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    9. Volkova, A. & Koduvere, H. & Pieper, H., 2022. "Large-scale heat pumps for district heating systems in the Baltics: Potential and impact," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
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    14. Milad Khosravi & Ahmad Arabkoohsar, 2019. "Thermal-Hydraulic Performance Analysis of Twin-Pipes for Various Future District Heating Schemes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    15. Ziemele, Jelena & Gravelsins, Armands & Blumberga, Andra & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2017. "Sustainability of heat energy tariff in district heating system: Statistic and dynamic methodologies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 834-845.
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    19. Dermentzis, Georgios & Ochs, Fabian & Thuer, Alexander & Streicher, Wolfgang, 2021. "Supporting decision-making for heating and distribution systems in a new residential district - An Austrian case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    20. Ziemele, Jelena & Gendelis, Stanislavs & Dace, Elina, 2023. "Impact of global warming and building renovation on the heat demand and district heating capacity: Case of the city of Riga," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    21. Søren Djørup & Karl Sperling & Steffen Nielsen & Poul Alborg Østergaard & Jakob Zinck Thellufsen & Peter Sorknæs & Henrik Lund & David Drysdale, 2020. "District Heating Tariffs, Economic Optimisation and Local Strategies during Radical Technological Change," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-15, March.
    22. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Bidokhti, Abbas & Fakhrzad, Mohammad-Bagher & Sadegheih, Ahmad & Zare Mehrjerdi, Yahia, 2022. "A new model for the use of renewable electricity to reduce carbon dioxide emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
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