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Expert assessments of retrofitting coal-fired power plants with carbon dioxide capture technologies

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  • Chung, Timothy S.
  • Patiño-Echeverri, Dalia
  • Johnson, Timothy L.

Abstract

A set of 13 US based experts in post-combustion and oxy-fuel combustion CO2 capture systems responded to an extensive questionnaire asking their views on the present status and future expected performance and costs for amine-based, chilled ammonia, and oxy-combustion retrofits of coal-fired power plants. This paper presents the experts' responses for technology maturity, ideal plant characteristics for early adopters, and the extent to which R&D and deployment incentives will impact costs. It also presents the best estimates and 95% confidence limits of the energy penalties associated with amine-based systems. The results show a general consensus that amine-based systems are closer to commercial application, but potential for improving performance and lowering costs is limited; chilled ammonia and oxy-combustion offer greater potential for cost reductions, but not without greater uncertainty regarding scale and technical feasibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Chung, Timothy S. & Patiño-Echeverri, Dalia & Johnson, Timothy L., 2011. "Expert assessments of retrofitting coal-fired power plants with carbon dioxide capture technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5609-5620, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:39:y:2011:i:9:p:5609-5620
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Laura Diaz Anadon & Erin Baker & Valentina Bosetti & Lara Aleluia Reis, 2016. "Expert views - and disagreements - about the potential of energy technology R&D," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(3), pages 677-691, June.
    2. Elena Verdolini & Laura Díaz Anadón & Erin Baker & Valentina Bosetti & Lara Aleluia Reis, 2018. "Future Prospects for Energy Technologies: Insights from Expert Elicitations," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 12(1), pages 133-153.
    3. Ricci, Elena Claire & Bosetti, Valentina & Baker, Erin & Jenni, Karen E., 2014. "From Expert Elicitations to Integrated Assessment: Future Prospects of Carbon Capture Technologies," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 172451, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    4. Laura Diaz Anadon & Erin Baker & Valentina Bosetti & Lara Aleluia Reis, 2016. "Too Early to Pick Winners: Disagreement across Experts Implies the Need to Diversify R&D Investment," Working Papers 2016.22, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Nemet, Gregory F. & Baker, Erin & Jenni, Karen E., 2013. "Modeling the future costs of carbon capture using experts' elicited probabilities under policy scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 218-228.
    6. Rasul, M.G. & Moazzem, S. & Khan, M.M.K., 2014. "Performance assessment of carbonation process integrated with coal fired power plant to reduce CO2 (carbon dioxide) emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 330-341.
    7. Li, Jia & Tharakan, Pradeep & Macdonald, Douglas & Liang, Xi, 2013. "Technological, economic and financial prospects of carbon dioxide capture in the cement industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1377-1387.
    8. Bandyopadhyay, Rubenka & Patiño-Echeverri, Dalia, 2016. "An alternate wind power integration mechanism: Coal plants with flexible amine-based CCS," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 704-713.
    9. Gregory Nemet & Erin Baker & Bob Barron & Samuel Harms, 2015. "Characterizing the effects of policy instruments on the future costs of carbon capture for coal power plants," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 155-168, November.
    10. Erin Baker & Olaitan Olaleye & Lara Aleluia Reis, 2015. "Decision Frameworks and the Investment in R&D," Working Papers 2015.42, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    11. Goto, Kazuya & Yogo, Katsunori & Higashii, Takayuki, 2013. "A review of efficiency penalty in a coal-fired power plant with post-combustion CO2 capture," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 710-720.
    12. Baker, Erin & Bosetti, Valentina & Anadon, Laura Diaz & Henrion, Max & Aleluia Reis, Lara, 2015. "Future costs of key low-carbon energy technologies: Harmonization and aggregation of energy technology expert elicitation data," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 219-232.
    13. Gerbelová, Hana & Versteeg, Peter & Ioakimidis, Christos S. & Ferrão, Paulo, 2013. "The effect of retrofitting Portuguese fossil fuel power plants with CCS," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 280-287.

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