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Does the different sectoral coverage matter? An analysis of China's carbon trading market

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  • Lin, Boqiang
  • Jia, Zhijie

Abstract

By the end of 2017, China formally established the national carbon trading market, however, only electricity industry was eligible to participate in the emission trading scheme (ETS). This paper aims to answer the question as to what should China do after the first step of establishing China's national ETS market using a dynamic recursive CGE model with six scenarios from different coverage according to relevant documents. The results show that when more industries are covered in ETS market it will lead to a higher GDP performance and less ETS price in general. Since the trading price is related to the marginal emission reduction cost of enterprises, the coverage of enterprises with low emission reduction cost can bring lower prices. However, there is no direct relationship between carbon price and emission reduction, as the coverage is different in different. There is no obvious relationship between the additional burden of enterprises and emission reduction, it is only related to carbon price and the coverage. Finally, we find that after covering the power generation industry, the carbon market should cover other primary energy production enterprises, which will bring much better emission reduction benefits than the original plan of the National Development and Reform Commission in China.

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  • Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2020. "Does the different sectoral coverage matter? An analysis of China's carbon trading market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:137:y:2020:i:c:s0301421519307505
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111164
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    4. Wang, Xu & Zhu, Lei & Liu, Pengfei, 2021. "Manipulation via endowments: Quantifying the influence of market power on the emission trading scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    5. Zhang, Kun & Yao, Yun-Fei & Liang, Qiao-Mei & Saren, Gaowa, 2021. "How should China prioritize the deregulation of electricity prices in the context of carbon pricing? A computable general equilibrium analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    6. Yao Li & Shuai Wang, 2023. "Personal emission permit trading scheme: urban spatial equilibrium and planning," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 1239-1259, March.
    7. Yang, Fan & Lee, Hyoungsuk, 2022. "An innovative provincial CO2 emission quota allocation scheme for Chinese low-carbon transition," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    8. Wu, Rongxin & Tan, Zhizhou & Lin, Boqiang, 2023. "Does carbon emission trading scheme really improve the CO2 emission efficiency? Evidence from China's iron and steel industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
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