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Market integration and price transmission in the U.S. natural gas market: From the wellhead to end use markets

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  • Mohammadi, Hassan

Abstract

Examination of the upstream-downstream pricing behavior in U.S. natural gas industry reveals that: (a) natural gas markets are integrated but subject to regime shifts and asymmetric adjustments, suggesting market imperfections. (b) Demand- and supply-side shocks play important roles in determining short-run price movements as evidenced by tests of causality and impulse response functions. (c) The response of end use prices to deviations from equilibrium with wellhead prices vary. Electrical, industrial and city gate prices adjust fast while commercial and residential prices adjust slowly, consistent with the role of administered pricing in later markets. (d) Long-run variations in end use prices are primarily due to their own shocks, while long-run variations in wellhead prices are due to innovations in residential and electrical prices. These findings point to the importance of demand shocks as the primary determinant of natural gas prices in the long-run.

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  • Mohammadi, Hassan, 2011. "Market integration and price transmission in the U.S. natural gas market: From the wellhead to end use markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 227-235, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:33:y:2011:i:2:p:227-235
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    6. Michael Weylandt & Yu Han & Katherine B. Ensor, 2019. "Multivariate Modeling of Natural Gas Spot Trading Hubs Incorporating Futures Market Realized Volatility," Papers 1907.10152, arXiv.org.
    7. Karl-Heinz Schild & Karsten Schweikert, 2019. "On the Validity of Tests for Asymmetry in Residual-Based Threshold Cointegration Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-13, March.
    8. Duangnate, Kannika & Mjelde, James W. & Bessler, David A., 2015. "Price Dynamics under Structural Changes with Unknown Break Points among North America Natural Gas Spot Markets," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205661, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Cuilin Li & Ya-Juan Du & Qiang Ji & Jiang-bo Geng, 2019. "Multiscale Market Integration and Nonlinear Granger Causality between Natural Gas Futures and Physical Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-23, October.
    10. Golpe, Antonio A. & Carmona, Monica & Congregado, Emilio, 2012. "Persistence in natural gas consumption in the US: An unobserved component model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 594-600.
    11. Nguyen, Bao H. & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2019. "Asymmetric reactions of the US natural gas market and economic activity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 86-99.
    12. Sang-Hyun Kim & Yeon-Yi Lim & Dae-Wook Kim & Man-Keun Kim, 2020. "Swing Suppliers and International Natural Gas Market Integration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-12, September.
    13. Wiggins, Seth & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2017. "Turbulent times: Uncovering the origins of US natural gas price fluctuations since deregulation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 196-205.
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    15. Hou, Chenghan & Nguyen, Bao H., 2018. "Understanding the US natural gas market: A Markov switching VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 42-53.

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