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Semi-nonparametric estimates of interfuel substitution in U.S. energy demand

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  • Serletis, Apostolos
  • Shahmoradi, Asghar

Abstract

This paper focuses on the demand for crude oil, natural gas, and coal in the United States in the context of two globally flexible functional forms - the Fourier and the Asymptotically Ideal Model (AIM) - estimated subject to full regularity, using methods suggested over 20 years ago by Gallant and Golub [Gallant, A. Ronald and Golub, Gene H. Imposing Curvature Restrictions on Flexible Functional Forms. Journal of Econometrics 26 (1984), 295-321] and recently used by Serletis and Shahmoradi [Serletis, A., Shahmoradi, A., 2005. Semi-nonparametric estimates of the demand for money in the United States. Macroeconomic Dynamics 9, 542-559] in the monetary demand systems literature. We provide a comparison in terms of a full set of elasticities and also a policy perspective, using (for the first time) parameter estimates that are consistent with global regularity.

Suggested Citation

  • Serletis, Apostolos & Shahmoradi, Asghar, 2008. "Semi-nonparametric estimates of interfuel substitution in U.S. energy demand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2123-2133, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:30:y:2008:i:5:p:2123-2133
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    4. Jevgenijs Steinbuks, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution and Energy Use in the U.K. Manufacturing Sector," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
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    7. David I. Stern, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution: A Meta‐Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 307-331, April.
    8. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y. & Park, Sungkeun, 2016. "A new approach to modeling the effects of temperature fluctuations on monthly electricity demand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 206-216.
    9. Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution in the United States," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Interfuel Substitution, chapter 2, pages 11-35, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y. & Park, Sungkeun, 2014. "Time-varying Long-run Income and Output Elasticities of Electricity Demand with an Application to Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 334-347.
    11. Timothy J. Considine & Edward J. M. Manderson, 2013. "The Cost of Solar-Centric Renewable Portfolio Standards," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1323, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    12. Liu, Yaqin & Zhang, Jingchao & Zhu, Zhishuang & Zhao, Guohao, 2019. "Impacts of the 3E (economy, energy and environment) coordinated development on energy mix in China: The multi-objective optimisation perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 56-64.
    13. Serletis, Apostolos & Timilsina, Govinda & Vasetsky, Olexandr, 2009. "On interfuel substitution : some international evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5026, The World Bank.
    14. Rowland, Christopher S. & Mjelde, James W. & Dharmasena, Senarath, 2017. "Policy implications of considering pre-commitments in U.S. aggregate energy demand system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 406-413.
    15. Hossain, A. K. M. Nurul & Serletis, Apostolos, 2020. "Biofuel substitution in the U.S. transportation sector," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    16. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs & Narayanan, Badri G., 2015. "Fossil fuel producing economies have greater potential for industrial interfuel substitution," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 168-177.
    17. Xie, Chunping & Hawkes, Adam D., 2015. "Estimation of inter-fuel substitution possibilities in China's transport industry using ridge regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 260-267.
    18. Shenghao Feng & Keyu Zhang & Xiujian Peng, 2021. "Elasticity of Substitution Between Electricity and Non-Electric Energy in the Context of Carbon Neutrality in China," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-323, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    19. Liu, Weisheng & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Electrification of rails in China: Its impact on energy conservation and emission reduction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    20. Nurul Hossain, A.K.M. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2017. "A century of interfuel substitution," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 28-42.
    21. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang & Appiah, Michael Owusu, 2013. "Delving into Liberia's energy economy: Technical change, inter-factor and inter-fuel substitution," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 122-130.

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