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Modeling framework for optimal evacuation of large-scale crowded pedestrian facilities

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  • Abdelghany, Ahmed
  • Abdelghany, Khaled
  • Mahmassani, Hani
  • Alhalabi, Wael

Abstract

The paper presents a simulation–optimization modeling framework for the evacuation of large-scale pedestrian facilities with multiple exit gates. The framework integrates a genetic algorithm (GA) and a microscopic pedestrian simulation–assignment model. The GA searches for the optimal evacuation plan, while the simulation model guides the search through evaluating the quality of the generated evacuation plans. Evacuees are assumed to receive evacuation instructions in terms of the optimal exit gates and evacuation start times. The framework is applied to develop an optimal evacuation plan for a hypothetical crowded exhibition hall. The obtained results show that the model converges to a superior optimal evacuation plan within an acceptable number of iterations. In addition, the obtained evacuation plan outperforms conventional plans that implement nearest-gate immediate evacuation strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdelghany, Ahmed & Abdelghany, Khaled & Mahmassani, Hani & Alhalabi, Wael, 2014. "Modeling framework for optimal evacuation of large-scale crowded pedestrian facilities," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(3), pages 1105-1118.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:237:y:2014:i:3:p:1105-1118
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.02.054
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    3. Kurdi, Heba A. & Al-Megren, Shiroq & Althunyan, Reham & Almulifi, Asma, 2018. "Effect of exit placement on evacuation plans," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 269(2), pages 749-759.
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    6. Can Liao & Kejun Zhu & Haixiang Guo & Jian Tang, 2019. "Simulation Research on Safe Flow Rate of Bidirectional Crowds Using Bayesian-Nash Equilibrium," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, January.
    7. He, Zhou & Xiong, Jie & Ng, Tsan Sheng & Fan, Bo & Shoemaker, Christine A., 2017. "Managing competitive municipal solid waste treatment systems: An agent-based approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(3), pages 1063-1077.
    8. Delcea, Camelia & Cotfas, Liviu-Adrian, 2019. "Increasing awareness in classroom evacuation situations using agent-based modeling," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1400-1418.
    9. Kurdi, Heba & Almulifi, Asma & Al-Megren, Shiroq & Youcef-Toumi, Kamal, 2021. "A balanced evacuation algorithm for facilities with multiple exits," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 285-296.
    10. Camelia Delcea & Liviu-Adrian Cotfas & Liliana Crăciun & Anca Gabriela Molanescu, 2018. "Are Seat and Aisle Interferences Affecting the Overall Airplane Boarding Time? An Agent-Based Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, November.
    11. Fry, John & Binner, Jane M., 2016. "Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(3), pages 1014-1023.
    12. Yanyan Niu & Jia Yu & Dawei Lu & Renwu Mu & Jiahong Wen, 2022. "Spatial Allocation Method of Evacuation Guiders in Urban Open Public Spaces: A Case Study of Binjiang Green Space in Xuhui District, Shanghai, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-25, September.

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