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Human papillomavirus vaccine and risky sexual behavior: Regression discontinuity design evidence from Brazil

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  • Frio, Gustavo Saraiva
  • França, Marco Tulio Aniceto

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the hypothesis of moral hazard caused by vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV), regarding girls’ beginning of sex life and, once they have begun their sex life, to understand whether it reduces the probability of girls using a condom in their first sexual intercourse. The data are from the 2015 National Survey of School Health (PeNSE). The model used is the regression discontinuity, with the discontinuity in the age of the girls who were able to participate in the public vaccination campaign. The results of the so-called Fuzzy-RDD show that the campaign was effective in increasing the likelihood of vaccination by 26.7–27.6 percentage points. There is no observable effect on young women initiating their sex lives or refraining from using condoms. The results are tested by several robustness methods. This is the first work to use quasi-experimental models in a developing country with low vaccination coverage in Latin America and show that it is necessary to increase awareness campaigns with parents, so they will know that there is no effect of vaccination on the beginning of sex life and condom use.

Suggested Citation

  • Frio, Gustavo Saraiva & França, Marco Tulio Aniceto, 2021. "Human papillomavirus vaccine and risky sexual behavior: Regression discontinuity design evidence from Brazil," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ehbiol:v:40:y:2021:i:c:s1570677x20302161
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ehb.2020.100946
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David S. Lee & Thomas Lemieux, 2010. "Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 281-355, June.
    2. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2020. "Simple Local Polynomial Density Estimators," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1449-1455, July.
    3. Ehrlich, Isaac & Becker, Gary S, 1972. "Market Insurance, Self-Insurance, and Self-Protection," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 80(4), pages 623-648, July-Aug..
    4. Dhaval Dave & Robert Kaestner, 2009. "Health insurance and ex ante moral hazard: evidence from Medicare," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 367-390, December.
    5. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2018. "Manipulation testing based on density discontinuity," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 18(1), pages 234-261, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Garrouste, Clémentine & Juet, Arthur & Samson, Anne-Laure, 2023. "Direct and crowding-out effects of a Hepatitis B vaccination campaign," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    HPV; Regression discontinuity; Moral hazard; Adolescents;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy

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