IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v230y2022i2p483-509.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Testing for the presence of jump components in jump diffusion models

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Bin
  • Zheng, Xu

Abstract

In this paper we propose a nonparametric test to determine whether an underlying jump diffusion process indeed contains jump component, or equivalently, is indeed a diffusion. Our test is based upon a robust threshold estimation of diffusive volatility and the kernel estimation of the conditional moment function of the squared instantaneous increments of the underlying process. We show that our test statistic has asymptotic standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis of no jumps, is consistent against fixed alternatives, and may detect local alternatives that shrink to diffusions at certain convergence rates, when sampling interval shrinks to zero and time span is either fixed or expands. We only assume that the jump diffusion process is recurrent, thus allowing for both stationary and nonstationary cases. In addition, we provide a regression bootstrap test and establish its validity. A Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to examine the finite sample performances of our test, and an empirical illustration is also provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Bin & Zheng, Xu, 2022. "Testing for the presence of jump components in jump diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 483-509.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:230:y:2022:i:2:p:483-509
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.06.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407621001779
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.06.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean Jacod, 2000. "Non‐parametric Kernel Estimation of the Coefficient of a Diffusion," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 83-96, March.
    2. Kim, Jihyun & Park, Joon Y., 2017. "Asymptotics for recurrent diffusions with application to high frequency regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 37-54.
    3. Gao, Jiti & Gijbels, Irène, 2008. "Bandwidth Selection in Nonparametric Kernel Testing," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103(484), pages 1584-1594.
    4. Fan J. & Zhang C., 2003. "A Reexamination of Diffusion Estimators With Applications to Financial Model Validation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 118-134, January.
    5. Li, Qi, 1999. "Consistent model specification tests for time series econometric models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 101-147, September.
    6. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, November.
    7. M. Rajarshi, 1990. "Bootstrap in Markov-sequences based on estimates of transition density," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 42(2), pages 253-268, June.
    8. Gao, Jiti & Casas, Isabel, 2008. "Specification testing in discretized diffusion models: Theory and practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 131-140, November.
    9. Boswijk, H. Peter & Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Georgiev, Iliyan & Rahbek, Anders, 2021. "Bootstrapping non-stationary stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 161-180.
    10. Andersen, Torben G. & Dobrev, Dobrislav & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2012. "Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 75-93.
    11. JAMES G. MacKINNON, 2006. "Bootstrap Methods in Econometrics," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 82(s1), pages 2-18, September.
    12. Chang, Jinyuan & Chen, Songxi, 2011. "On the Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Diffusion Processes," MPRA Paper 46279, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. P. C. B. Phillips & S. N. Durlauf, 1986. "Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 53(4), pages 473-495.
    14. Fan, Yanqin & Li, Qi, 1996. "Consistent Model Specification Tests: Omitted Variables and Semiparametric Functional Forms," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 865-890, July.
    15. Taesuk Lee & Mico Loretan & Werner Ploberger, 2013. "Rate-optimal tests for jumps in diffusion processes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1009-1041, November.
    16. Xin Huang & George Tauchen, 2005. "The Relative Contribution of Jumps to Total Price Variance," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 3(4), pages 456-499.
    17. Jens‐Peter Kreiss & Jürgen Franke, 1992. "Bootstrapping Stationary Autoregressive Moving‐Average Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(4), pages 297-317, July.
    18. Schmisser, Émeline, 2014. "Non-parametric adaptive estimation of the drift for a jump diffusion process," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 883-914.
    19. Jiang, George J. & Oomen, Roel C.A., 2008. "Testing for jumps when asset prices are observed with noise-a "swap variance" approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 352-370, June.
    20. Arup Bose, 1990. "Bootstrap in moving average models," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 42(4), pages 753-768, December.
    21. Zhipeng Liao & Xiaoxia Shi, 2020. "A nondegenerate Vuong test and post selection confidence intervals for semi/nonparametric models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(3), pages 983-1017, July.
    22. Schmisser, Émeline, 2019. "Non parametric estimation of the diffusion coefficients of a diffusion with jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(12), pages 5364-5405.
    23. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Jacod, Jean & Li, Jia, 2012. "Testing for jumps in noisy high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 207-222.
    24. Hong, Yongmiao & White, Halbert, 1995. "Consistent Specification Testing via Nonparametric Series Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 63(5), pages 1133-1159, September.
    25. Gao, Jiti & King, Maxwell & Lu, Zudi & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2009. "Nonparametric Specification Testing For Nonlinear Time Series With Nonstationarity," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1869-1892, December.
    26. Andersen, Torben G. & Dobrev, Dobrislav & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2014. "A Robust Neighborhood Truncation Approach To Estimation Of Integrated Quarticity," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 3-59, February.
    27. Franke, Jurgen & Neumann, Michael H. & Stockis, Jean-Pierre, 2004. "Bootstrapping nonparametric estimators of the volatility function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 189-218.
    28. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004. "Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
    29. Li, Q. & Wang, Suojin, 1998. "A simple consistent bootstrap test for a parametric regression function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 145-165, August.
    30. Xu, Ke-Li, 2009. "Empirical likelihood-based inference for nonparametric recurrent diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 153(1), pages 65-82, November.
    31. J. Franke & J.‐P. Kreiss & E. Mammen & M. H. Neumann, 2002. "Properties of the nonparametric autoregressive bootstrap," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(5), pages 555-585, September.
    32. Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2003. "What Type of Process Underlies Options? A Simple Robust Test," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2581-2610, December.
    33. Gao, Jiti, 2007. "Nonlinear time series: semiparametric and nonparametric methods," MPRA Paper 39563, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2007.
    34. Park, Joon Y. & Wang, Bin, 2021. "Nonparametric estimation of jump diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 688-715.
    35. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Park, Joon Y., 2016. "Bandwidth selection and asymptotic properties of local nonparametric estimators in possibly nonstationary continuous-time models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 119-138.
    36. Wolfgang Härdle & Joel Horowitz & Jens‐Peter Kreiss, 2003. "Bootstrap Methods for Time Series," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 71(2), pages 435-459, August.
    37. repec:taf:jnlbes:v:30:y:2012:i:2:p:242-255 is not listed on IDEAS
    38. Manuel Arapis & Jiti Gao, 2006. "Empirical Comparisons in Short-Term Interest Rate Models Using Nonparametric Methods," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 4(2), pages 310-345.
    39. Lee, Suzanne S. & Hannig, Jan, 2010. "Detecting jumps from Lévy jump diffusion processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 271-290, May.
    40. Yasutaka Shimizu & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2006. "Estimation of Parameters for Diffusion Processes with Jumps from Discrete Observations," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 227-277, October.
    41. Hong, H. & Scaillet, O., 2006. "A fast subsampling method for nonlinear dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 557-578, August.
    42. Nze, Patrick Ango & Doukhan, Paul, 2004. "Weak Dependence: Models And Applications To Econometrics," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(6), pages 995-1045, December.
    43. Suzanne S. Lee & Per A. Mykland, 2008. "Jumps in Financial Markets: A New Nonparametric Test and Jump Dynamics," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(6), pages 2535-2563, November.
    44. John Xu Zheng, 1996. "A consistent test of functional form via nonparametric estimation techniques," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 263-289, December.
    45. Corradi, Valentina & Silvapulle, Mervyn J. & Swanson, Norman R., 2018. "Testing for jumps and jump intensity path dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 248-267.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xin Zhang & Donggyu Kim & Yazhen Wang, 2016. "Jump Variation Estimation with Noisy High Frequency Financial Data via Wavelets," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-26, August.
    2. Hassan Zada & Arshad Hassan & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Do Jumps Matter in Both Equity Market Returns and Integrated Volatility: A Comparison of Asian Developed and Emerging Markets," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-26, June.
    3. Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa Crujeiras, 2013. "An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 361-411, September.
    4. Prosper Dovonon & Sílvia Gonçalves & Ulrich Hounyo & Nour Meddahi, 2019. "Bootstrapping High-Frequency Jump Tests," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 793-803, April.
    5. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020. "High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
    6. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod, 2012. "Analyzing the Spectrum of Asset Returns: Jump and Volatility Components in High Frequency Data," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1007-1050, December.
    7. Park, Joon Y. & Wang, Bin, 2021. "Nonparametric estimation of jump diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 688-715.
    8. Zhang, Chuanhai & Liu, Zhi & Liu, Qiang, 2021. "Jumps at ultra-high frequency: Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Barunik, Jozef & Vacha, Lukas, 2018. "Do co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 97-119.
    10. Pierre Bajgrowicz & Olivier Scaillet & Adrien Treccani, 2016. "Jumps in High-Frequency Data: Spurious Detections, Dynamics, and News," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(8), pages 2198-2217, August.
    11. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Jacod, Jean & Li, Jia, 2012. "Testing for jumps in noisy high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 207-222.
    12. Gao, Jiti & Casas, Isabel, 2008. "Specification testing in discretized diffusion models: Theory and practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 131-140, November.
    13. Zhou, Haigang & Zhu, John Qi, 2019. "Firm characteristics and jump dynamics in stock prices around earnings announcements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    14. Jan Novotný & Giovanni Urga, 2018. "Testing for Co-jumps in Financial Markets," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 16(1), pages 118-128.
    15. Eric Jacquier & Cedric Okou, 2013. "Disentangling Continuous Volatility from Jumps in Long-Run Risk-Return Relationships," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-14, CIRANO.
    16. Deniz Erdemlioglu & Sébastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely, 2013. "Econometric modeling of exchange rate volatility and jumps," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 16, pages 373-427, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    17. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 74-98, November.
    18. Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
    19. Song Xi Chen & Jiti Gao, 2010. "Simultaneous Testing of Mean and Variance Structures in Nonlinear Time Series Models," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2010-28, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    20. Duong, Diep & Swanson, Norman R., 2015. "Empirical evidence on the importance of aggregation, asymmetry, and jumps for volatility prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 606-621.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Recurrent jump diffusions; Threshold estimation; Kernel estimation; Bootstrap test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:230:y:2022:i:2:p:483-509. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.