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Optimal growth under model uncertainty

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  • Xu, Yuhong

Abstract

The optimal growth of a wealth process toward a goal is studied under ambiguous markets with first- and second-order moment uncertainties relating to stock returns. Optimal strategies and value functions are solved explicitly. A verification theorem is proved to show that the results solve the original stochastic control problem. Quantitative analyses of the investment strategies indicate that a rational individual with ambiguity aversion reduces market participation when return and volatility are uncorrelated, while there is an exception for synchronous return and volatility. The welfare of shorting a discounted reward is computed, which demonstrates that in an ambiguous pricing economy, investors can generate a positive premium via appropriate asset allocations.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Yuhong, 2022. "Optimal growth under model uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:60:y:2022:i:c:s1062940821002254
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101634
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal investment; Kelly criterion; Ambiguity aversion; Model uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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