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A small macroeconometric model of the Nigerian economy

Author

Listed:
  • Olofin, S.O.
  • Olubusoye, O.E.
  • Mordi, C.N.O.
  • Salisu, A.A.
  • Adeleke, A.I.
  • Orekoya, S.O.
  • Olowookere, A.E.
  • Adebiyi, M.A.

Abstract

This study develops and uses for forecast a small-scale macro-econometric model of the Nigerian economy. The effects of three policy scenarios built around the assumptions of the changes that the Central Bank of Nigeria is likely to make to the Monetary Policy Rate are proposed and analyzed. Trade-off among the scenarios is identified in terms of their potential impacts on key macroeconomic indicators like inflation, exchange rate, output and lending rate. The results show that the monetary authority has to make a choice between the objectives of maintaining a stable exchange rate and lowering the lending rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Olofin, S.O. & Olubusoye, O.E. & Mordi, C.N.O. & Salisu, A.A. & Adeleke, A.I. & Orekoya, S.O. & Olowookere, A.E. & Adebiyi, M.A., 2014. "A small macroeconometric model of the Nigerian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 305-313.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:39:y:2014:i:c:p:305-313
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.03.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Gollagari Ramakrishna & Berhanu Asefa Gizaw & Ch. Paramaiah & Robinson Joseph & Sania Khan, 2023. "Import Tariff Reduction and Fiscal Sustainability: A Macro-Econometric Modelling for Ethiopia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Sam Olofin & Olusanya Olubusoye & Afees A. Salisu & Alarudeen Aminu & Uwatt B. Uwatt & Micheal A. Adebiyi, 2017. "Revision of the small macro-econometric model of the Nigerian economy," Working Papers 032, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    3. Olofin, S.O. & Salisu, A.A & Tule, M.K, 2020. "Revised Small Macro-Econometric Model Of The Nigerian Economy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 97-116.
    4. Alarudeen Aminu & Joshua Adeyemi Ogunjimi, 2019. "A Small Macroeconometric Model of Nigeria," Economy, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 6(2), pages 41-55.

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    JEL classification:

    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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