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Economic distress, democratic quality, and satisfaction with democracy in Europe during COVID-19: A multilevel approach

Author

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  • Cavusoglu, Tarkan
  • Pistoresi, Barbara
  • Poma, Erica

Abstract

This study examines how economic distress and democratic quality influenced individuals’ satisfaction with democracy across 27 European countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using multilevel mixed-effects models, we find that economic distress significantly reduced satisfaction with democracy, particularly during the pandemic period. This relationship is shaped not only by individual-level conditions but also by the severity of the pandemic at the national level, which amplifies dissatisfaction and intensifies the negative impact of economic distress. While redistributive policies, such as pandemic-related financial assistance, enhance satisfaction, they do not fully offset the adverse effects of distress. In contrast, targeted unemployment spending helps alleviate the negative impact of economic hardship, while income inequality exacerbates it. Finally, higher democratic quality and greater trust in government buffer the negative consequences of pandemic severity. These findings underscore the critical role of well-designed redistributive policies and resilient democratic institutions in maintaining public support for democracy during systemic crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Cavusoglu, Tarkan & Pistoresi, Barbara & Poma, Erica, 2025. "Economic distress, democratic quality, and satisfaction with democracy in Europe during COVID-19: A multilevel approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:150:y:2025:i:c:s0264999325001324
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107137
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    JEL classification:

    • H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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