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Voluntary disclosures and climate change uncertainty: Evidence from CDS premiums

Author

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  • Imerman, Michael B.
  • Ye, Xiaoxia
  • Zhao, Ran

Abstract

We examine the effect of voluntary climate risk disclosure on Credit Default Swap (CDS) premiums. We develop a structural model, in which climate-related disclosures serve as an information source reducing climate change uncertainty. The model predicts a negative relation between the informativeness of climate risk disclosure and the CDS premium, and asymmetric effects of positive and negative disclosure tone on the CDS premium. Using climate risk measures quantified from earnings call transcripts, we provide evidence supporting these predictions with causal inference. Our study suggests that climate risk is priced in the CDS market, where investors pay attention to climate risk disclosures.

Suggested Citation

  • Imerman, Michael B. & Ye, Xiaoxia & Zhao, Ran, 2025. "Voluntary disclosures and climate change uncertainty: Evidence from CDS premiums," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:94:y:2025:i:c:s0929119925000999
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102831
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    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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