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Do exchange rate arrangements and capital controls influence international capital flows and housing prices in Asia?

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  • Ohno, Sanae
  • Shimizu, Junko

Abstract

This paper investigates the influence of international capital flows on housing prices in eight Asian countries, including China. We focus on determining whether exchange rate arrangements and capital regulations influence capital inflows and housing prices. Our results show that an arrangement to restrain the fluctuation of the exchange rate and capital controls has the potential to raise housing prices in Asia. The strong prospect of the Chinese yuan's appreciation also pushed up housing prices in China. Another expected reason for the increase in capital inflows into Asian markets is the expansion of global liquidity. Such capital flows often have a sensitive reaction to market sentiment, and an increase in asset market volatility caused by the liquidity squeeze decreases Asian housing prices. These results suggest the need to review capital controls and future exchange rate system options for Asian countries.

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  • Ohno, Sanae & Shimizu, Junko, 2015. "Do exchange rate arrangements and capital controls influence international capital flows and housing prices in Asia?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:39:y:2015:i:c:p:1-18
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2015.04.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Yongseung Jung & Soyoung Kim & Doo Yong Yang, 2018. "Capital Control and Monetary Policy in Asian Emerging Market Economies," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 17(2), pages 111-134, Summer.
    2. Dongxue Wang & Yugang He, 2024. "The Mathematical Simulation of South Korea’s Financial and Economic Impacts from Real Estate Bubbles: Lessons from the China Evergrande Collapse," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-24, September.
    3. Ferry Syarifuddin, 2020. "The Dynamics Of Foreign Portfolio Investment And Exchange Rate: An Interconnection Approach In Asean," Working Papers WP/08/2020, Bank Indonesia.
    4. Yang Zhou, 2022. "The Effects of Capital Controls on Housing Prices," Discussion Paper Series DP2022-29, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    5. Rita Yi Man Li & Herru Ching Yu Li, 2018. "Have Housing Prices Gone with the Smelly Wind? Big Data Analysis on Landfill in Hong Kong," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-19, January.
    6. CHANG, Shian & ARAI, Natsuki, 2025. "US Credit Spillovers to Small Open Economies : A Proxy-VAR Approach," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 66(1), pages 46-60, June.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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