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Planning energy-water nexus system under multiple uncertainties – A case study of Hebei province

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  • Lv, J.
  • Li, Y.P.
  • Shan, B.G.
  • Jin, S.W.
  • Suo, C.

Abstract

Energy and water are inextricably linked. The shrinking water availabilities, increasing energy demand, and severe resources shortage pose great challenges for socioeconomic sustainable development. In this study, an interval-fuzzy chance-constrained programming method that is capable of addressing uncertainties expressed as interval values, fuzzy sets and fuzzy-probability distributions existed in the energy-water nexus system is developed. Then, the developed method is applied to a real case of Hebei province (in northern China) that heavily relies on fossil fuels such as coal and oil as sources of energy. A variety of scenarios associated with different water availabilities and multiple uncertainties are examined. Results reveal that both water availabilities and uncertainties have significant effects on the energy-water nexus system planning strategies. Compared to the scenario with high water-availability, the energy-water nexus system would save 10.9% of water under low water availability; however, the imported electricity would increase 8.2% to offset the local power-generation shortage. Results also disclose that the study system would gradually transit to renewable energies and the proportion of coal-fired power would reduce by 12.09% at the end of planning horizon. These findings can provide useful information for the other regions to achieve adjustment of the conflict among economic objective, electricity demand, and water shortage.

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  • Lv, J. & Li, Y.P. & Shan, B.G. & Jin, S.W. & Suo, C., 2018. "Planning energy-water nexus system under multiple uncertainties – A case study of Hebei province," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 389-403.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:229:y:2018:i:c:p:389-403
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.08.010
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    Cited by:

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    11. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Hien, Raymond Khoo Teck & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "China’s roadmap to low-carbon electricity and water: Disentangling greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from electricity-water nexus via renewable wind and solar power generation, and carbon capture and sto," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 31-42.
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    14. Yang Wei & Boyang Sun, 2021. "Optimizing Water Use Structures in Resource-Based Water-Deficient Regions Using Water Resources Input–Output Analysis: A Case Study in Hebei Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, April.
    15. Xu, Ye & Tan, Junyuan & Wang, Xu & Li, Wei & He, Xing & Hu, Xiaoguang & Fan, Yurui, 2022. "Synergetic management of water-energy-food nexus system and GHG emissions under multiple uncertainties: An inexact fractional fuzzy chance constraint programming method," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    16. Chai, Li & Liao, Xiawei & Yang, Liu & Yan, Xianglin, 2018. "Assessing life cycle water use and pollution of coal-fired power generation in China using input-output analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 951-958.
    17. Gong, J.W. & Li, Y.P. & Lv, J. & Huang, G.H. & Suo, C. & Gao, P.P., 2022. "Development of an integrated bi-level model for China’s multi-regional energy system planning under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
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