IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v38y2024i4d10.1007_s11269-023-03720-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Bayesian Based Multi-stage Type-2-fuzzy Game and Interval-stochastic Programming Method for Planning Basin Energy-water-climate Nexus System

Author

Listed:
  • Danyang Di

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Hao Hu

    (Yellow River Conservancy Technical Institute)

  • Hexiang Zhang

    (Zhengzhou University)

Abstract

The contradiction between increasing energy demand, decreasing water availability, and deteriorating ecological environment indicates the urgent necessity for an energy-water-climate nexus management (EWCM) system. The contribution of this paper is to propose a posterior probability-based multi-stage cooperative game and type-2-fuzzy interval-stochastic programming model of the EWCM (PMCTFSP-EWCM) to determine the optimal solutions for sustainable development under ambiguities and uncertainties. The type-2-fuzzy sets and multi-stage interval-stochastic programming are combined to deal with objective and subjective uncertainties of partial parameters with flexible constraints. Moreover, multi-stage cooperative game was adopted to reflect the cooperation and competition between energy subsystem and water resources subsystem. Then, the model was applied to a case study to investigate the EWCM in the Yellow River Basin (YRB), China. Improving water availability satisfaction and feasibility degree can reduce external energy dependence costs from $$\left[84.9, 126.4 \right] \times 10^{9}{\$}$$ 84.9 , 126.4 × 10 9 $ to $$\left[ 12.7, 14.3 \right] \times 10^{9} {\$}$$ 12.7 , 14.3 × 10 9 $ . Furthermore, when considering the objective function of cost, target revenue functions, and corresponding constraints of the EWCM mutual feedback relationship, the proportion of fossil energy supply in the YRB was reduced to 63.28%-71.79%. These measures could reduce the generation of negative values, which has long-term significance for the healthy and sustainable development of EWCM.

Suggested Citation

  • Danyang Di & Hao Hu & Hexiang Zhang, 2024. "A Bayesian Based Multi-stage Type-2-fuzzy Game and Interval-stochastic Programming Method for Planning Basin Energy-water-climate Nexus System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(4), pages 1279-1298, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:38:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03720-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03720-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-023-03720-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-023-03720-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lv, J. & Li, Y.P. & Shan, B.G. & Jin, S.W. & Suo, C., 2018. "Planning energy-water nexus system under multiple uncertainties – A case study of Hebei province," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 389-403.
    2. Wang, Saige & Fath, Brian & Chen, Bin, 2019. "Energy–water nexus under energy mix scenarios using input–output and ecological network analyses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 827-839.
    3. Ji, Ling & Zhang, Beibei & Huang, Guohe & Wang, Peng, 2020. "A novel multi-stage fuzzy stochastic programming for electricity system structure optimization and planning with energy-water nexus - A case study of Tianjin, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    4. Danyang Di & Qi Shi & Zening Wu & Huiliang Wang, 2023. "Sustainable Management and Environmental Protection for Basin Water Allocation: Differential Game-based Multiobjective Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(1), pages 1-20, January.
    5. Wang, Saige & Liu, Yating & Chen, Bin, 2018. "Multiregional input–output and ecological network analyses for regional energy–water nexus within China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C), pages 353-364.
    6. Seleshi G. Yalew & Michelle T. H. van Vliet & David E. H. J. Gernaat & Fulco Ludwig & Ariel Miara & Chan Park & Edward Byers & Enrica De Cian & Franziska Piontek & Gokul Iyer & Ioanna Mouratiadou & Ja, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(10), pages 794-802, October.
    7. Ansari, Dawud & Holz, Franziska, 2019. "Anticipating global energy, climate and policy in 2055: Constructing qualitative and quantitative narratives," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 58, pages 1-23.
    8. Chih-Hsien Lin & Wei-Hsiang Chen, 2023. "A Technology-Organization-Environment (TOE) Framework Based on Scientometry for Understanding The Risk Factors in Sustainable Water Resources Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(15), pages 5849-5869, December.
    9. A. T. D. Perera & Vahid M. Nik & Deliang Chen & Jean-Louis Scartezzini & Tianzhen Hong, 2020. "Quantifying the impacts of climate change and extreme climate events on energy systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(2), pages 150-159, February.
    10. Meng, Fanxin & Liu, Gengyuan & Liang, Sai & Su, Meirong & Yang, Zhifeng, 2019. "Critical review of the energy-water-carbon nexus in cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1017-1032.
    11. Esteban Gil & Yerel Morales & Tomás Ochoa, 2021. "Addressing the Effects of Climate Change on Modeling Future Hydroelectric Energy Production in Chile," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-23, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ding, Tao & Liang, Liang & Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Min & Wei, Yuqi, 2020. "Water-energy nexus: The origin, development and prospect," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 419(C).
    2. Plaga, Leonie Sara & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    3. Elshkaki, Ayman, 2019. "Material-energy-water-carbon nexus in China’s electricity generation system up to 2050," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Jing-Li Fan & Zezheng Li & Xi Huang & Kai Li & Xian Zhang & Xi Lu & Jianzhong Wu & Klaus Hubacek & Bo Shen, 2023. "A net-zero emissions strategy for China’s power sector using carbon-capture utilization and storage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    5. Wang, Xipan & Song, Junnian & Xing, Jiahao & Duan, Haiyan & Wang, Xian'en, 2022. "System nexus consolidates coupling of regional water and energy efficiencies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    6. Ahmad, Shakeel & Jia, Haifeng & Chen, Zhengxia & Li, Qian & Xu, Changqing, 2020. "Water-energy nexus and energy efficiency: A systematic analysis of urban water systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    7. Megan Belongeay & Gabriela Shirkey & Marina Monteiro Lunardi & Gonzalo Rodriguez-Garcia & Parikhit Sinha & Richard Corkish & Rodney A. Stewart & Annick Anctil & Jiquan Chen & Ilke Celik, 2023. "Photovoltaic Systems through the Lens of Material-Energy-Water Nexus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-12, March.
    8. Filippo Pavanello & Enrica Cian & Marinella Davide & Malcolm Mistry & Talita Cruz & Paula Bezerra & Dattakiran Jagu & Sebastian Renner & Roberto Schaeffer & André F. P. Lucena, 2021. "Air-conditioning and the adaptation cooling deficit in emerging economies," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Wang, Saige & Chen, Bin, 2021. "Unraveling energy–water nexus paths in urban agglomeration: A case study of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    10. Perera, A.T.D. & Khayatian, F. & Eggimann, S. & Orehounig, K. & Halgamuge, Saman, 2022. "Quantifying the climate and human-system-driven uncertainties in energy planning by using GANs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    11. Wang, Xue-Chao & Klemeš, Jiří Jaromír & Wang, Yutao & Foley, Aoife & Huisingh, Donald & Guan, Dabo & Dong, Xiaobin & Varbanov, Petar Sabev, 2021. "Unsustainable imbalances and inequities in Carbon-Water-Energy flows across the EU27," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    12. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Hien, Raymond Khoo Teck & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "China’s roadmap to low-carbon electricity and water: Disentangling greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from electricity-water nexus via renewable wind and solar power generation, and carbon capture and sto," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 31-42.
    13. Ahmad, Ali & Covatariu, Andrei & Ramana, M.V., 2023. "A stormy future? Financial impact of climate change-related disruptions on nuclear power plant owners," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    14. Tan, Ling Min & Arbabi, Hadi & Brockway, Paul E. & Densley Tingley, Danielle & Mayfield, Martin, 2019. "An ecological-thermodynamic approach to urban metabolism: Measuring resource utilization with open system network effectiveness analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    15. Yang, Jingna & Zhou, Kaile & Hu, Rong, 2024. "City-level resilience assessment of integrated energy systems in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    16. Dan Yi & Sheng Lin & Jianlan Yang, 2025. "Global Climate Risk Perception and Its Dynamic Impact on the Clean Energy Market: New Evidence from Contemporaneous and Lagged R 2 Decomposition Connectivity Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-29, April.
    17. Cássia Juliana Fernandes Torres & Camilla Hellen Peixoto de Lima & Bárbara Suzart de Almeida Goodwin & Terencio Rebello de Aguiar Junior & Andrea Sousa Fontes & Daniel Veras Ribeiro & Rodrigo Saldanha, 2019. "A Literature Review to Propose a Systematic Procedure to Develop “Nexus Thinking” Considering the Water–Energy–Food Nexus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-32, December.
    18. Wei, Hongqian & Zhang, Youtong & Wang, Yongzhen & Hua, Weiqi & Jing, Rui & Zhou, Yue, 2022. "Planning integrated energy systems coupling V2G as a flexible storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    19. Xiao Li & Yu Zhang & Jing Liu & Zuomeng Sun, 2023. "Towards Sustainable Energy–Water–Environment Nexus System Considering the Interactions between Climatic, Social and Economic Factors: A Case Study of Fujian, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-22, June.
    20. Zhai, Mengyu & Huang, Guohe & Liu, Lirong & Zheng, Boyue & Guan, Yuru, 2020. "Inter-regional carbon flows embodied in electricity transmission: network simulation for energy-carbon nexus," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:38:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03720-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.