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Determinantes del precio internacional de la soja

Author

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  • Néstor Adrián le Clech

    (Universidad Nacional de Quilmes, Buenos Aires. Argentina)

Abstract

El presente trabajo realiza un repaso general de los principales fundamentos económicos de los precios internacionales de los commodities, y analiza su efecto sobre los precios internacionales de la soja. Se utilizan técnicas de cointegración a fin de atar el comportamiento de largo plazo con las que se ha verificado la importancia de incluir los factores de oferta en las estimaciones econométricas. Asimismo, se ha constatado que la influencia de otros factores, como los costes de los insumos y el factor tecnológico, han tenido un papel muy importante en la determinación de los precios a largo plazo. Respecto al debate sobre la influencia de los factores monetarios (medido por el impacto de la tasa de interés real) se ha constatado un nivel de influencia sumamente reducido. Los factores de demanda y las restricciones de la oferta han tenido un papel fundamental en la determinación del precio de la soja de largo plazo, seguidos por el efecto de las variaciones en los precios de los insumos de producción.

Suggested Citation

  • Néstor Adrián le Clech, 2013. "Determinantes del precio internacional de la soja," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 2, pages 1-1, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eac:articl:15/12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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