IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/jagaec/v28y1996i01p203-210_00.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Nonconstant Price Expectations and Acreage Response: The Case of Cotton Production in Georgia

Author

Listed:
  • Parrott, Scott D.
  • McIntosh, Christopher S.

Abstract

An adaptive regression model is used to examine the relative importance of cash and government support prices in determining cotton production over time. The results show that the cash price is more important as a source of price information for cotton producers than the government program price. The cash price was shown to have a greater influence on acreage response in every year, including periods thought to be dominated by government commodity programs.

Suggested Citation

  • Parrott, Scott D. & McIntosh, Christopher S., 1996. "Nonconstant Price Expectations and Acreage Response: The Case of Cotton Production in Georgia," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(1), pages 203-210, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:28:y:1996:i:01:p:203-210_00
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1074070800009627/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Duffy, Patricia A. & Richardson, James W. & Wohlgenant, Michael K., 1987. "Regional Cotton Acreage Response," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(1), pages 1-11, July.
    2. David R. Lee & Peter G. Helmberger, 1985. "Estimating Supply Response in the Presence of Farm Programs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(2), pages 193-203.
    3. Houck, James P., 1976. "Analyzing the Impact of Government Programs on Crop Acreage," Technical Bulletins 158119, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Shumway, C. Richard, 1994. "Evaluating alternative price expectation models for multiproduct supply analysis," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, January.
    5. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Shideed, Kamil H., 1989. "The Effect Of Government Programs On Acreage Response Over Time: The Case Of Corn Production In Iowa," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, July.
    6. Rulon D. Pope, 1981. "Supply Response and the Dispersion of Price Expectations," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(1), pages 161-163.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liang, Yan & Miller, J. Corey & Harri, Ardian & Coble, Keith H., 2011. "Crop Supply Response under Risk: Impacts of Emerging Issues on Southeastern U.S. Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(2), pages 181-194, May.
    2. Magrini, Emiliano & Morales-Opazo, Cristian & Balie, Jean, 2014. "Supply response along the value chain in selected SSA countries: the case of grains," 2014: Food, Resources and Conflict, December 7-9, 2014. San Diego, California 197193, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    3. Houston, Jack E. & McIntosh, Christopher S. & Stavriotis, Paul A. & Turner, Steve C., 1999. "Leading Indicators of Regional Cotton Acreage Response: Structural and Time Series Modeling Results," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(3), pages 507-517, December.
    4. Jean‐Pascal Bassino & Jean‐Pierre Dormois, 2010. "Rainfall, The Méline Tariff, And Wheat Production In Mediterranean France, 1885–1914," Australian Economic History Review, Economic History Society of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 50(1), pages 23-38, March.
    5. MacDonald, Stephen, 1997. "Global End-Use Demand for Cotton: A Time-Varying Parameter Model," MPRA Paper 70911, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2003. ""Irrational" Planting Behavior As Rational Expectations Of Government Support," 2003 Annual Meeting, February 1-5, 2003, Mobile, Alabama 35237, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Tribble, Camille M. & Mcintosh, Christopher S. & Wetzstein, Michael E., 1999. "Georgia Cotton Acreage Response to the Boll Weevil Eradication Program," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(3), pages 499-506, December.
    8. Kim, Youngho & Lichtenberg, Erik & Newburn, David, 2022. "Payments and Penalties in Ecosystem Services Programs," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322103, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Flanders, Archie, 2014. "Stocks-to-Use Response for Acreage Allocation of Arkansas Field Crops," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2014, pages 1-15.
    10. Kim, Youngho & Lichtenberg, Erik & Newburn, David A., 2024. "Payments and penalties in ecosystem services programs," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    11. Stavriotis, Paul A. & Houston, Jack E. & McIntosh, Christopher S. & Turner, Steven C., 1998. "Leading Indicators For Regional Cotton Response: Structural And Time Series Modeling Results," Faculty Series 16717, University of Georgia, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    12. Emilio Galdeano-Gómez, 2007. "Composite price expectations: An empirical analysis for the Spanish horticultural sector," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 57-83.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stavriotis, Paul A. & Houston, Jack E. & McIntosh, Christopher S. & Turner, Steven C., 1998. "Leading Indicators For Regional Cotton Response: Structural And Time Series Modeling Results," Faculty Series 16717, University of Georgia, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    2. Shideed, Kamil H. & White, Fred C. & Brannen, Stephen J., 1987. "The Responsiveness Of U.S. Corn And Soybean Acreages To Conditional Price Expectations: An Application To The 1985 Farm Bill," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Hyunseok Kim & GianCarlo Moschini, 2018. "The Dynamics of Supply: U.S. Corn and Soybeans in the Biofuel Era," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 94(4), pages 593-613.
    4. Agbola, Frank W. & Evans, Nigel, 2012. "Modelling rice and cotton acreage response in the Murray Darling Basin in Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 74-82.
    5. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Williams, Albert A., 1992. "Multiproduct Production Choices And Pesticide Regulation In Georgia," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-10, July.
    6. Brooks, Harvey G., 1990. "Three studies in economics," ISU General Staff Papers 1990010108000010481, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    7. Houston, Jack E. & McIntosh, Christopher S. & Stavriotis, Paul A. & Turner, Steve C., 1999. "Leading Indicators of Regional Cotton Acreage Response: Structural and Time Series Modeling Results," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(3), pages 507-517, December.
    8. Lim, Hongil & Shumway, C. Richard, 1989. "State-Level Nonparametric Tests Of Profit Maximization," 1989 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 2, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 270494, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Howland, Frank M., 1990. "Alternative Empirical Measures Of The Supply Effect Of The Corn Price Support Program," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 271035, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Salassi, Michael E., 1995. "The Responsiveness Of U.S. Rice Acreage To Price And Production Costs," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 27(2), pages 1-14, December.
    11. Ramsey, Steven M. & Bergtold, Jason S. & Heier Stamm, Jessica, 2018. "An Artificial Neural Network Approach to Acreage-Share Modeling," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274395, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. McIntosh, Christopher S. & Shideed, Kamil H., 1989. "The Effect Of Government Programs On Acreage Response Over Time: The Case Of Corn Production In Iowa," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, July.
    13. O'Donoghue, Erik J. & Whitaker, James B., 2006. "How distorting are direct payments?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21247, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    14. Shideed, Kamil H. & White, Fred C. & Brannen, Stephen J., 1987. "Alternative Procedures For The Formation Of Price Expectations In Supply Response Analysis: An Application To U.S. Corn Acreage," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 269926, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    15. Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2003. ""Irrational" Planting Behavior As Rational Expectations Of Government Support," 2003 Annual Meeting, February 1-5, 2003, Mobile, Alabama 35237, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    16. Schoney, R. A., 1990. "An Analysis of Wheat Supply Response Under Risk and Uncertainty," Working Papers 244030, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.
    17. Chembezi, Duncan M. & Womack, Abner W., 1992. "Regional Acreage Response For U.S. Corn And Wheat: The Effects Of Government Programs," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-12, July.
    18. Bailey, Kenneth W. & Womack, Abner W., 1985. "Wheat Acreage Response: A Regional Econometric Investigation," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-10, December.
    19. Huang, Wen-Yuan & Hyberg, Bengt & Segarra, Eduardo, 1990. "A Variable Price Support Farm Program: A Transition Tool To A Free Market," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 22(1), pages 1-11, July.
    20. Haile, M.G. & Kalkuhl, M., 2014. "Volatility in the international food markets: implications for global agricultural supply and for market and price policy," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 49, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:28:y:1996:i:01:p:203-210_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/aae .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.