Les revenus des ménages dans la Russie de Poutine : changement distributionnel entre groupes socioéconomiques, 2000-2016

Following the invasion of Ukraine by Russia in February 2022 and the imposition of sanctions by countries worldwide, the Russian population is facing a crisis with deep but differentiated consequences across socioeconomic groups. We examine the evolution of income and disparities in societal income throughout Vladimir Putin?s presidency, including the 2014 oil crisis and the trade war spurred by Russia?s annexation of Crimea. Unconditional quantile regressions are applied to 2000?2016 surveys to estimate the distributional changes across urban/rural, farming/non-farming, and gender divides at all income quantiles, and growth incidence curves for the respective groups are derived using consistent survey waves around the crisis years of 2014?2015. Urban-rural gaps are found to be pervasive, particularly at lower income quantiles, while gender gaps declined over time. Rural and female-headed households receive lower returns on their endowments because they lack employment opportunities. The 2014 shocks affected all groups, particularly the rural poor, export-oriented farmers, and the urban rich, not only immediately but over several years.