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A simple global food system model

Author

Listed:
  • Li JIANG

    (State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)

  • Xuefeng CUI

    (State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)

  • Xia XU

    (State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)

  • Yuan JIANG

    (State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)

  • Mark ROUNSEVELL

    (School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom)

  • Dave MURRAY-RUST

    (School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom)

  • Yinghui LIU

    (College of Resources Science and Technology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)

Abstract

In this study, we develop a simple dimension model to construct the food system in response to the population growth, the land use change and various socio-economic developments. The model simulates the consumption and production of agricultural goods in the individual countries, and maintains the global balance of food through the international trade flows between countries. Although there are some biases in the model results at the country levels, we suggest that such a simple model is feasible for simulating the global food supply system and assessing the uncertainties coming from various environmental and socio-economic factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Li JIANG & Xuefeng CUI & Xia XU & Yuan JIANG & Mark ROUNSEVELL & Dave MURRAY-RUST & Yinghui LIU, 2014. "A simple global food system model," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 60(4), pages 188-197.
  • Handle: RePEc:caa:jnlage:v:60:y:2014:i:4:id:40-2013-agricecon
    DOI: 10.17221/40/2013-AGRICECON
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. van Tongeren, Frank & van Meijl, Hans & Surry, Yves, 2001. "Global models applied to agricultural and trade policies: a review and assessment," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 149-172, November.
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    6. Angelsen, Arild & Kaimowitz, David, 1999. "Rethinking the Causes of Deforestation: Lessons from Economic Models," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 14(1), pages 73-98, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge LOZANO & Juan Carlos SAENZ-DIEZ & Eduardo MARTINEZ & Emilio JIMENEZ & Julio BLANCO, 2017. "Integration of the SMED for the improvement of the supply chain management of spare parts in the food sector," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 63(8), pages 370-379.

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