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Poverty Dynamics in Turkey

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  • Sırma Demir Şeker
  • Meltem Dayıoğlu

Abstract

type="main"> This paper examines poverty dynamics in Turkey using a nationally representative panel data covering the 2005–08 period. The aim is to understand mobility in and out of poverty and its correlates. We find that almost a quarter of the poor are persistently poor. The conditional and unconditional exit rates that we estimate are within the range of values reported for developed countries in the literature. That the income events—but not transfers—dominate both poverty entries and exits is indicative of the major role labor markets play in the lives of the poor. In particular, we argue that given the characteristics of the poor and modest levels of social assistance, the reason for mobility rates close to European averages must be sought in the informal economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Sırma Demir Şeker & Meltem Dayıoğlu, 2015. "Poverty Dynamics in Turkey," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 61(3), pages 477-493, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:revinw:v:61:y:2015:i:3:p:477-493
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    Cited by:

    1. Sinem H. Ayhan & Selin Pelek, 2020. "State Dependence in Welfare Benefits in a Non‐Welfare Context," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(3), pages 711-735, September.
    2. Elena Giarda & Gloria Moroni, 2018. "The Degree of Poverty Persistence and the Role of Regional Disparities in Italy in Comparison with France, Spain and the UK," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 136(1), pages 163-202, February.
    3. Alexander Ahammer & Stefan Kranzinger, 2017. "Poverty in Times of Crisis," Economics working papers 2017-03, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    4. Paul S. F. Yip & Chenhong Peng & Ho Kit Wong & Bing Kwan So, 2020. "Social Welfare Transfers and Poverty Transitions in Hong Kong: Evidence from Two-Wave Panel Data," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 841-864, October.
    5. Nursel Aydiner-Avsar & M. Burak Onemli, 2023. "Working Poverty in Türkiye: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 168(1), pages 139-164, August.
    6. G. Bonanno & L. Chies & E. Podrecca, 2023. "The determinants of poverty exits and entries and the role of social benefits: the Italian case," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(3), pages 931-969, October.
    7. Mustafa Kemal Bayırbağ & Asuman Göksel & Coşku Çelik, 2018. "Child Poverty and Youth Unemployment in Turkey," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(3), pages 390-413, September.
    8. Hasan Vergil & Fuat Sekmen & Haşmet Gökirmak & Sukru Apaydin, 2022. "2008 financial crisis and income distribution in Turkey," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2627-2643, August.
    9. Meltem A. Aran & Nazli Aktakke & Zehra Sena Kibar & Emre Üçkardeşler, 2022. "How to Assess the Child Poverty and Distributional Impact of COVID-19 Using Household Budget Surveys: An Application Using Turkish Data," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(4), pages 1997-2037, August.
    10. Raziye Selim & Suat Küçükçifçi, 2025. "The Effect of Social Transfers on Income Inequality and Poverty in Türkiye," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 8198-8220, June.
    11. Azevedo, Joao Pedro & Atamanov, Aziz, 2014. "Pathways to the middle class in Turkey : how have reducing poverty and boosting shared prosperity helped?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6834, The World Bank.

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