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Intertemporal substitution and new car purchases

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  • Adam Copeland

Abstract

type="main"> This article presents a dynamic demand model for motor vehicles. This approach accounts for the change in the mix of consumers over the model year and measures consumers' substitution patterns across products and time. I find intertemporal substitution is significant; consumers are more likely to change the timing of their purchase in reaction to a price increase rather than buy another vehicle in the same period. Further, I find automakers' use of large cash-back rebates at the end of the model year, although boosting overall sales, induces large numbers of consumers to delay their purchases and so pay lower prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Copeland, 2014. "Intertemporal substitution and new car purchases," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 45(3), pages 624-644, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:randje:v:45:y:2014:i:3:p:624-644
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1756-2171.12065
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    Cited by:

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    2. Spiller, Elisheba & Stephens, Heather M. & Chen, Yong, 2017. "Understanding the heterogeneous effects of gasoline taxes across income and location," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 74-90.
    3. Homolka, Lubor & Ngo, Vu Minh & Pavelková, Drahomíra & Le, Bach Tuan & Dehning, Bruce, 2020. "Short- and medium-term car registration forecasting based on selected macro and socio-economic indicators in European countries," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Winston, Clifford & Yan, Jia, 2021. "Vehicle size choice and automobile externalities: A dynamic analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 196-218.
    5. Guofang Huang & Haiyan Liu, 2021. "Estimating expectations-based reference-price effects in the used-car retail market," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 457-503, December.
    6. Hiroshi Kitamura & Noriaki Matsushima & Misato Sato, 2023. "Which is better for durable goods producers, exclusive or open supply chain?," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 158-176, January.
    7. Zhang, Zhichao & Xu, Haiyan & Chen, Kebing & Zhao, Yingxue & Liu, Zhi, 2023. "Channel mode selection for an e-platform supply chain in the presence of a secondary marketplace," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(3), pages 1215-1235.
    8. Feng, Lipan & Zheng, Xiong & Govindan, Kannan & Xue, Kelei, 2019. "Does the presence of secondary market platform really hurt the firm?," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 55-68.

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