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Measuring long-run price elasticities in urban travel demand

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Donna

    (University of Florida)

Abstract

This paper develops a structural model of urban travel to estimate long-run price elasticities. A dynamic discrete choice demand model with switching costs is estimated, using a panel dataset with public market-level data on automobile and public transit use for Chicago. The estimated model shows that long-run own- (automobile) and cross (transit) price elasticities are more elastic than short-run elasticities, and that elasticity estimates from static and myopic models are downward biased. The estimated model isused to evaluate the response to a gasoline tax. Static and myopic models mismeasure long-run substitution patterns, and could lead to incorrect policy decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Donna, 2021. "Measuring long-run price elasticities in urban travel demand," Working Papers 74, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
  • Handle: RePEc:aoz:wpaper:74
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    File URL: https://rednie.eco.unc.edu.ar/files/DT/74.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Beestermöller & Levke Jessen-Thiesen & Alexander Sandkamp & Alexander-Nikolai Sandkamp, 2023. "Striking Evidence: The Impact of Railway Strikes on Competition from Intercity Bus Services in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 10483, CESifo.
    2. Carolyn Fischer & Grant D. Jacobsen, 2021. "The Green New Deal And The Future Of Carbon Pricing," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 988-995, June.
    3. Javier D. Donna & Pedro Pereira, 2024. "Structural Presumptions for Non-horizontal Mergers in the 2023 Merger Guidelines: A Primer and a Path Forward," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 65(1), pages 303-345, August.
    4. Fournier, Nicholas PhD & Patire, Anthony PhD & Skabardonis, Alexander PhD, 2023. "A Futures Market for Demand Responsive Travel Pricing," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt6g34r2mx, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    5. Johannes Mauritzen, 2023. "With great power (prices) comes great tail pipe emissions? \\ A natural experiment of electricity prices and electric car adoption," Papers 2304.01709, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • L91 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Transportation: General
    • L98 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Government Policy

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