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A locational analysis of growth and change in American metropolitan areas

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  • John I. Carruthers
  • Gordon F. Mulligan

Abstract

. This article examines the process of growth and change within the American constellation of metropolitan areas. It begins with the premise that regional development happens in two interconnected ways: via demand‐induced growth, which is driven by economic opportunity, and supply‐induced growth, which is driven by personal preference. The nature and spatial outcome of these mechanisms are investigated by estimating a series of three‐equation regional adjustment models wherein changes in population density, employment density, and the average annual wage are endogenously determined. In order to account for spatial dependence in the development process, each model is specified with spatial lags of its three dependent variables and is estimated using a spatial two‐stage least squares technique. The results of the analysis illustrate the evolving nature of metropolitan growth and yield insight into the land use patterns that it produces. Resumen. Este artículo examina el proceso de crecimiento y cambio en la constelación norteamericana de áreas metropolitanas. Comienza bajo la premisa de que el desarrollo regional ocurre de dos maneras interconectadas: por un crecimiento inducido por la demanda, el cual esta impulsado por la oportunidad económica, y por un crecimiento inducido por la oferta, el cual está impulsado por las preferencias personales. La naturaleza y resultado espacial de esos mecanismos son investigados mediante la estimación de una serie de modelos de ajuste regional de tres ecuaciones donde los cambios en la densidad de población, la densidad de empleo y el salario promedio anual están determinados endógenamente. Para poder tener en cuenta la dependencia espacial en el proceso de desarrollo, cada modelo especifica intervalos espaciales de sus tres variables dependientes y es estimado mediante un procedimiento espacial de mínimos cuadrados en dos etapas. Los resultados del análisis muestran la naturaleza evolutiva del crecimiento metropolitano y aportan conocimiento sobre los modelos de uso del suelo que produce.

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  • John I. Carruthers & Gordon F. Mulligan, 2008. "A locational analysis of growth and change in American metropolitan areas," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 87(2), pages 155-171, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:87:y:2008:i:2:p:155-171
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2007.00162.x
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    2. Funderburg, Richard G. & Nixon, Hilary & Boarnet, Marlon G. & Ferguson, Gavin, 2010. "New highways and land use change: Results from a quasi-experimental research design," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 76-98, February.
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    5. Tervo, Hannu, 2016. "Do People Follow Jobs or Do Jobs Follow People? The Case of Finland in an International Context," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 46(01).
    6. Joao F. Bigotte & Antonio P. Antunes & Dmitry Krass & Oded Berman, 2014. "The Relationship between Population Dynamics and Urban Hierarchy," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 37(2), pages 149-171, April.
    7. Jayaraman, Praveena & Lacombe, Donald J. & Gebremedhin, Tesfa, 2013. "A Spatial Analysis of the Role of Residential Real Estate Investment in the Economic Development of the Northeast Region of the United States," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150953, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. David L. Barkley & Rebekka M. Dudensing, 2011. "Industrial Legacy Matters: Implications for the Development and Use of Indices of Regional Competitiveness," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 25(2), pages 130-142, May.
    9. John Carruthers & Gordon F. Mulligan, 2012. "The plane of living and the precrisis evolution of housing values in the USA," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 739-773, July.
    10. Giuseppe Arbia, 2011. "A Lustrum of SEA: Recent Research Trends Following the Creation of the Spatial Econometrics Association (2007--2011)," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(4), pages 377-395, July.
    11. Boarnet, Marlon G. & McLaughlin, Ralph B. & Carruthers, John I., 2011. "Does state growth management change the pattern of urban growth? Evidence from Florida," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 236-252, May.
    12. Thomas de Graaff & Frank G. van Oort & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2012. "Regional Population–Employment Dynamics Across Different Sectors Of The Economy," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 60-84, February.
    13. Jayaraman, Praveena & Gebremedhin, Tesfa G., 2013. "A Non-Spatial Analysis of the Role of Residential Real Estate Investment in the Economic Development of the Northeast Region of the United States," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 143107, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    14. Jens Abildtrup & Virginie Piguet & Bertrand Schmitt, 2011. "The impact of agro-food industry on employment and population changes: The case of Denmark and France'," ERSA conference papers ersa10p1622, European Regional Science Association.
    15. John I. Carruthers & Gordon F. Mulligan, 2013. "Through the Crisis," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 27(2), pages 124-143, May.
    16. Monica Palma & Claudia Cappello & Sandra De Iaco & Daniela Pellegrino, 2019. "The residential real estate market in Italy: a spatio-temporal analysis," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(5), pages 2451-2472, September.
    17. Allen J. Scott, 2010. "Jobs or amenities? Destination choices of migrant engineers in the USA," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(1), pages 43-63, March.
    18. John I. CARRUTHERS & Michael K. HOLLAR & Gordon F. MULLIGAN, 2008. "Growth And Convergence In The Space Economy : Evidence From The United States," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 27, pages 35-60.

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