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The "Walters Critique" of the EMS--A Case of Inconsistent Expectations?

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  • Miller, Marcus
  • Sutherland, Alan

Abstract

Alan Walters has suggested that the European Monetary System will prove dynamically unstable when capital controls are removed. The argument is analyzed within a model where overlapping contracts generate price inertia. In this context, it is found that the short-run effects predicted by Walters only arise when the credibility of the peg differs as between the labor and financial markets: but even if such a difference exists, the system is stable in the long run. Copyright 1991 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

Suggested Citation

  • Miller, Marcus & Sutherland, Alan, 1991. "The "Walters Critique" of the EMS--A Case of Inconsistent Expectations?," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 59(0), pages 23-37, Supplemen.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:manch2:v:59:y:1991:i:0:p:23-37
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    1. Esto hay que pagarlo: la historia de los tres cerditos y el lobo II
      by Cives in Politikon on 2012-05-09 17:00:00

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    Cited by:

    1. Hassapis, Christis & Pittis, Nikitas & Prodromidis, Kyprianos, 1999. "Unit roots and Granger causality in the EMS interest rates: the German Dominance Hypothesis revisited," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 47-73, January.
    2. Jakob von Weizsäcker & Alan Ahearne, 2008. "A tail of two countries," Bruegel Policy Brief 6, Bruegel.
    3. Vines, David & Wren-Lewis, Simon & Kirsanova, Tatiana, 2006. "Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Stability Within a Currency Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 5584, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Paolo Giovane & Lorenzo Bini-Smashi, 1996. "Convergence of inflation: A necessary prerequisite for EMU?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 117-126, April.
    5. Oliver Landmann, 2009. "EMU@10: Coping with Rotating Slumps," Discussion Paper Series 9, Department of International Economic Policy, University of Freiburg, revised Jul 2009.
    6. Bini-Smaghi, Lorenzo & Del Giovane, Paolo, 1996. "Convergence of inflation and interest rates prior to EMU: An empirical analysis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 377-395, August.
    7. Bonatti, Luigi & Fracasso, Andrea, 2019. "Policy inertia, self-defeating expectations and structural reforms: can policy modeling cope?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 943-962.
    8. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1994. "Fixed exchange rates as a means to price stability: What have we learned?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 447-468, April.
    9. von Hagen, Jurgen & Hofmann, Boris, 2004. "Macroeconomic implications of low inflation in the euro area," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 5-23, March.
    10. Lars Calmfors & Giancarlo Corsetti & Michael P. Devereux & Seppo Honkapohja & Gilles Saint-Paul & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Xavier Vives, 2007. "Chapter 2: Macroeonomic adjustment in the euro area – the cases of Ireland and Italy," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 59-72, February.
    11. Oliver Landmann, 2012. "Rotating Slumps in a Monetary Union," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 303-317, April.

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