IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/etrans/v27y2019i1p163-200.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does FDI crowd out domestic investment in transition countries?

Author

Listed:
  • Cristina Jude

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic investment in a sample of 10 Central and Eastern European countries over the period 1995–2015. We find FDI to lead to a creative destruction phenomenon, with a short‐term crowding out effect on domestic investment, followed by a long‐term crowding in. Greenfield FDI develops stronger long‐run complementarities with domestic investment, while mergers and acquisitions do not show a significant effect on domestic investment. Financial development seems to mitigate crowding out pressures and even foster a crowding in for mergers and acquisitions.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristina Jude, 2019. "Does FDI crowd out domestic investment in transition countries?," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 27(1), pages 163-200, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:etrans:v:27:y:2019:i:1:p:163-200
    DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12184
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecot.12184
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/ecot.12184?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    2. Cardoso, Eliana A. & Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1989. "Foreign private capital flows," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Hollis Chenery & T.N. Srinivasan (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 26, pages 1387-1439, Elsevier.
    3. Romer, Paul, 1993. "Idea gaps and object gaps in economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 543-573, December.
    4. de Mello, Luiz R, Jr, 1999. "Foreign Direct Investment-Led Growth: Evidence from Time Series and Panel Data," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 51(1), pages 133-151, January.
    5. Brian J. Aitken & Ann E. Harrison, 2022. "Do Domestic Firms Benefit from Direct Foreign Investment? Evidence from Venezuela," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Globalization, Firms, and Workers, chapter 6, pages 139-152, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Morrissey, Oliver & Udomkerdmongkol, Manop, 2012. "Governance, Private Investment and Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 437-445.
    7. Salvador Barrios & Holger Görg & Eric Strobl, 2016. "Foreign direct investment, competition and industrial development in the host country," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISES AND HOST COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT, chapter 18, pages 323-346, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    9. Borensztein, E. & De Gregorio, J. & Lee, J-W., 1998. "How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth?1," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 115-135, June.
    10. Markusen, James R. & Venables, Anthony J., 1999. "Foreign direct investment as a catalyst for industrial development," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 335-356, February.
    11. Manuel Agosin & Roberto Machado, 2005. "Foreign Investment in Developing Countries: Does it Crowd in Domestic Investment?," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 149-162.
    12. Ann E. Harrison & Inessa Love & Margaret S. McMillan, 2022. "Global capital flows and financing constraints," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Globalization, Firms, and Workers, chapter 8, pages 181-213, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    13. Miao Wang, 2010. "Foreign direct investment and domestic investment in the host country: evidence from panel study," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(29), pages 3711-3721.
    14. Theodore H. Moran & Edward M. Graham & Magnus Blomstrom, 2005. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Development?," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 3810, October.
    15. Bruce A. Blonigen & Miao Wang, 2004. "Inappropriate Pooling of Wealthy and Poor Countries in Empirical FDI Studies," NBER Working Papers 10378, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Gábor Hunya (ed.), 2000. "Integration Through Foreign Direct Investment," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1839.
    17. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka & Chi-Wa Yuen, 1999. "Excessive FDI flows under asymmetric information," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Sep.
    18. Alessia A. Amighini & Margaret S. McMillan & Marco Sanfilippo, 2017. "FDI and Capital Formation in Developing Economies: New Evidence from Industry-level Data," NBER Working Papers 23049, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Mesut Eren & Hong Zhuang, 2015. "Mergers and Acquisitions Versus Greenfield Investment, Absorptive Capacity, and Economic Growth: Evidence from 12 New Member States of the European Union," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 99-123, March.
    20. Barry P. Bosworth & Susan M. Collins, 1999. "Capital Flows to Developing Economies: Implications for Saving and Investment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 30(1), pages 143-180.
    21. Liu, Zhiqiang, 2008. "Foreign direct investment and technology spillovers: Theory and evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1-2), pages 176-193, February.
    22. Nagesh Kumar & Jaya Prakash Pradhan, 2005. "Foreign Direct Investment, Externalities and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Some Empirical Explorations," International Economic Association Series, in: Edward M. Graham (ed.), Multinationals and Foreign Investment in Economic Development, chapter 3, pages 42-84, Palgrave Macmillan.
    23. Mr. Ali J Al-Sadiq, 2013. "Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Investment: The Case of Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2013/052, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Mileva, Elitza, 2008. "The impact of capital flows on domestic investment in transition economies," Working Paper Series 871, European Central Bank.
    25. Jan Mišun & Vladimír Tomšík, 2002. "Přímé zahraniční investice ve střední Evropě: vytěsňují nebo vtahují domácí investice? [Foreign direct investment in central Europe: does it crowd in or out domestic investment?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2002(2).
    26. Pradeep Agrawal, 2005. "Foreign Direct Investment in South Asia: Impact on Economic Growth and Local Investment," International Economic Association Series, in: Edward M. Graham (ed.), Multinationals and Foreign Investment in Economic Development, chapter 5, pages 94-118, Palgrave Macmillan.
    27. Cristina Jude, 2016. "Technology Spillovers from FDI. Evidence on the Intensity of Different Spillover Channels," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(12), pages 1947-1973, December.
    28. Barry Eichengreen, 2004. "Productivity Growth, the New Economy, and Catching Up," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), pages 243-245, May.
    29. Miao Wang & M. C. Sunny Wong, 2009. "What Drives Economic Growth? The Case of Cross‐Border M&A and Greenfield FDI Activities," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(2), pages 316-330, April.
    30. Ali Al-Sadig, 2013. "The effects of foreign direct investment on private domestic investment: evidence from developing countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1267-1275, June.
    31. Titarenko, Deniss, 2005. "The Influence of Foreign Direct Investment on Domestic Investment Processes in Latvia," MPRA Paper 18192, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Mody, Ashoka & Murshid, Antu Panini, 2005. "Growing up with capital flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 249-266, January.
    33. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    34. Jan Mišun & Vladimír Tomšík, 2002. "Foreign direct investment in central europe - does it crowd in domestic investment?," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2002(1), pages 57-66.
    35. Hayakawa, Kazuhiko, 2009. "A SIMPLE EFFICIENT INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR PANEL AR(p) MODELS WHEN BOTH N AND T ARE LARGE," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 873-890, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Askandarou Diallo, & Jacolin Luc, & Isabelle Rabaud., 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Private Investment in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Crowding-In or Out ?," Working papers 816, Banque de France.
    2. Nguyen Van Bon, 2021. "Does FDI inflow crowd in private investment? Empirical evidence for the Southeast region of Vietnam from the panel quantile regression approach," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 11(2), pages 127-136.
    3. Md. Monirul Islam & Mohammad Tareque & Abu N. M. Wahid & Md. Mahmudul Alam & Kazi Sohag, 2022. "Do the Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investments Spur Domestic Investment in Bangladesh? A Counterfactual Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Su, Thanh Dinh, 2021. "Economic integration and economic complexity: The role of basic resources in absorptive capability in 40 selected developing countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 609-625.
    5. Garedew Aweke Gizaw & Negash Haile Dedeho & Tariku Lorato Lodamo, "undated". "The nexus between foreign direct investment, domestic investment and economic growth: Evidence from Ethiopia," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 202188, Reviewsep.
    6. Mohammad Razib Hossain, 2021. "Inward foreign direct investment in Bangladesh: Do we need to rethink about some of the macro-level quantitative determinants?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-23, March.
    7. Hieu Thanh Nguyen & Hiep Ngoc Luu & Ngoc Ha Do, 2021. "The dynamic relationship between greenfield investments, cross-border M&As, domestic investment and economic growth in Vietnam," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1065-1089, November.
    8. O'Brien, Martin & Wosser, Michael, 2022. "Assessing Structure-Related Systemic Risk in Advanced Economies," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
    9. K. Kalotay & A. Sulstarova, 2021. "FDI in the Post-Soviet Space Three Decades after the Disintegration of the Soviet Union," Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law, Center for Crisis Society Studies, vol. 14(5).
    10. Olufemi Adewale Aluko & George S. Chen & Eric Evans Osei Opoku, 2023. "Is foreign direct investment globalization‐induced or a myth? A tale of Africa," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2651-2663, July.
    11. Arshad Hayat, 2019. "Foreign direct investments, institutional quality, and economic growth," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 561-579, July.
    12. Cohle, Zachary & Ortega, Alberto, 2022. "Life of the party: The polarizing effect of foreign direct investment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Eslon Ngeendepi & Andrew Phiri, 2021. "Do FDI and Public Investment Crowd in/out Domestic Private Investment in the SADC Region?," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 19(1 (Spring), pages 3-25.
    14. Tung Son Ha & Vu Tuan Chu & Mai Tuyet Thi Nguyen & Dung Hoai Thi Nguyen & Anh Ngoc Thi Nguyen, 2021. "The impact of Greenfield investment on domestic entrepreneurship," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    15. Hayat, Arshad, 2016. "Foreign Direct Investment, Institutional Framework and Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 74563, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Alimov, Behzod, 2022. "The dynamic effects of debt and equity inflows: Evidence from emerging and developing countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    17. repec:prg:jnlpep:v:preprint:id:665:p:1-15 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Baiashvili, Tamar & Gattini, Luca, 2020. "Impact of FDI on economic growth: The role of country income levels and institutional strength," EIB Working Papers 2020/02, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    19. Svilena Mihaylova, 2023. "Foreign Affiliates versus Domestic Firms in the Information and Communication Services Sector in Central and Eastern Europe," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2023-04, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Mar 2023.
    20. Dobdinga Cletus Fonchamnyo & Gildas Dohba Dinga & Vahsegmi Carolle Ngum, 2021. "Revisiting the nexus between domestic investment, foreign direct investment and external debt in SSA countries: PMG‐ARDL approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 479-491, September.
    21. Safet Kurtović & Nehat Maxhuni & Blerim Halili & Bujar Krasniqi, 2022. "Does outward foreign direct investment crowd in or crowd out domestic investment in central, east and southeast europe countries? an asymmetric approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1419-1444, August.
    22. Jelena Zvezdanović Lobanova & Davorin Kračun & Alenka Kavkler, 2018. "Institutions as a Mediator of the Effect of Crossborder Mergers & Acquisitions on Domestic Investment," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(4), pages 479-493.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yao Yao & Ruhul Salim, 2020. "Crowds in or crowds out? The effect of foreign direct investment on domestic investment in Chinese cities," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2129-2154, May.
    2. Farla, Kristine & de Crombrugghe, Denis & Verspagen, Bart, 2016. "Institutions, Foreign Direct Investment, and Domestic Investment: Crowding Out or Crowding In?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-9.
    3. Shah, Syed Hasanat & Hasnat, Hafsa & Cottrell, Simon & Ahmad, Mohsin Hasnain, 2020. "Sectoral FDI inflows and domestic investments in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 96-111.
    4. Cristina JUDE & Grégory LEVIEUGE, 2013. "Growth Effect of FDI in Developing Economies: the Role of Institutional Quality," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2251, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    5. Alessia A. Amighini & Margaret S. McMillan & Marco Sanfilippo, 2017. "FDI and Capital Formation in Developing Economies: New Evidence from Industry-level Data," NBER Working Papers 23049, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Askandarou Diallo, & Jacolin Luc, & Isabelle Rabaud., 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Private Investment in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Crowding-In or Out ?," Working papers 816, Banque de France.
    7. Chen, George S. & Yao, Yao & Malizard, Julien, 2017. "Does foreign direct investment crowd in or crowd out private domestic investment in China? The effect of entry mode," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 409-419.
    8. Van Ha & Mark J. Holmes & Tuyen Quang Tran, 2022. "Does foreign investment crowd in domestic investment? Evidence from Vietnam," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 171, pages 18-29.
    9. Sara Amoroso & Bettina Müller, 2018. "The short-run effects of knowledge intensive greenfield FDI on new domestic entry," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 815-836, June.
    10. Zaiter Lahimer, Mahjouba, 2011. "L’impact des entrées de capitaux privés sur la croissance économique dans les pays en développement," Economics Thesis from University Paris Dauphine, Paris Dauphine University, number 123456789/7670 edited by Sterdyniak, Henri.
    11. Sasidaran Gopalan & Alice Ouyang & Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2018. "Impact of Greenfield FDI versus M&A on growth and domestic investment in developing Asia," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 35(1), pages 41-70, April.
    12. Hieu Thanh Nguyen & Hiep Ngoc Luu & Ngoc Ha Do, 2021. "The dynamic relationship between greenfield investments, cross-border M&As, domestic investment and economic growth in Vietnam," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1065-1089, November.
    13. Nadia Selmi, 2016. "FDI-Local Investment Nexus: Evidence from MENA Region," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(7), pages 123-123, July.
    14. Baiashvili, Tamar & Gattini, Luca, 2020. "Impact of FDI on economic growth: The role of country income levels and institutional strength," EIB Working Papers 2020/02, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    15. Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Ye,Lei Sandy & Islamaj,Ergys, 2017. "Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7990, The World Bank.
    16. Cristina Jude & Gregory Levieuge, 2017. "Growth Effect of Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Economies: The Role of Institutional Quality," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 715-742, April.
    17. Laura Casi & Laura Resmini, 2017. "Foreign direct investment and growth: Can different regional identities shape the returns to foreign capital investments?," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 35(8), pages 1483-1508, December.
    18. M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(2), pages 143-197.
    19. Lahimer, Noomen, 2009. "La contribution des investissements directs étrangers à la réduction de la pauvreté en Afrique subsaharienne," Economics Thesis from University Paris Dauphine, Paris Dauphine University, number 123456789/1167 edited by Goaied, Mohamed & Bienaymé, Alain.
    20. Igan, Deniz & Kutan, Ali M. & Mirzaei, Ali, 2020. "The real effects of capital inflows in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:etrans:v:27:y:2019:i:1:p:163-200. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ebrdduk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.