IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/ecorec/v101y2025i334p348-376.html

Placing Public Housing: Announcement Effects of New Builds in More and Less Expensive Neighbourhoods

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Hasan
  • Iqbal A. Syed
  • Anastasia Klimova

Abstract

This study investigates the differential effect of the announcement of new public housing locations on property prices in relatively more expensive and less expensive neighbourhoods, taking advantage of a single unanticipated government announcement of new builds in multiple locations in the Australian Capital Territory. We apply three different approaches to control for the quality differences of properties, to be used alongside the difference‐in‐differences method. We find the announcement dampens property prices in more expensive host neighbourhoods but not in less expensive ones, and when the host neighbourhoods are treated as one, we find that there is no impact, hence masking this heterogeneous impact. Our findings will help policy‐makers make important decisions around equity and efficiency in the provision of public housing across regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Hasan & Iqbal A. Syed & Anastasia Klimova, 2025. "Placing Public Housing: Announcement Effects of New Builds in More and Less Expensive Neighbourhoods," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 101(334), pages 348-376, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:101:y:2025:i:334:p:348-376
    DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12875
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4932.12875
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/1475-4932.12875?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arslan, Yavuz & Kanık, Birol & Köksal, Bülent, 2015. "Anticipated vs. unanticipated house price movements and transaction volume," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 121-129.
    2. Aliprantis, Dionissi & Hartley, Daniel, 2015. "Blowing it up and knocking it down: The local and city-wide effects of demolishing high concentration public housing on crime," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 67-81.
    3. Brian C. Prest & Casey J. Wichman & Karen Palmer, 2023. "RCTs against the Machine: Can Machine Learning Prediction Methods Recover Experimental Treatment Effects?," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 10(5), pages 1231-1264.
    4. Gregory Verdugo & Sorana Toma, 2018. "Can Public Housing Decrease Segregation? Lessons and Challenges From Non-European Immigration in France," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(5), pages 1803-1828, October.
    5. Patrick Bayer & Fernando Ferreira & Robert McMillan, 2007. "A Unified Framework for Measuring Preferences for Schools and Neighborhoods," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 115(4), pages 588-638, August.
    6. Hugh O. Nourse, 1963. "The Effect of Public Housing on Property Values in St. Louis," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 39(4), pages 433-441.
    7. Kim, Hayoung, 2022. "Heterogeneous effects of information disclosure: Evidence from housing markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 359-380.
    8. George Galster, 2007. "Neighbourhood Social Mix as a Goal of Housing Policy: A Theoretical Analysis," European Journal of Housing Policy, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-43.
    9. Rebecca Diamond, 2016. "The Determinants and Welfare Implications of US Workers' Diverging Location Choices by Skill: 1980-2000," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(3), pages 479-524, March.
    10. Atif Mian & Kamalesh Rao & Amir Sufi, 2013. "Household Balance Sheets, Consumption, and the Economic Slump," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(4), pages 1687-1726.
    11. Ivan A. Canay & Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2017. "Randomization Tests Under an Approximate Symmetry Assumption," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1013-1030, May.
    12. Daniel Shoag & Stan Veuger, 2018. "Shops and the City: Evidence on Local Externalities and Local Government Policy from Big-Box Bankruptcies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(3), pages 440-453, July.
    13. Blanco, Hector, 2023. "Pecuniary effects of public housing demolitions: Evidence from Chicago," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    14. Simon Heß, 2017. "Randomization inference with Stata: A guide and software," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 17(3), pages 630-651, September.
    15. Robert J. Hill, 2013. "Hedonic Price Indexes For Residential Housing: A Survey, Evaluation And Taxonomy," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 879-914, December.
    16. Kiel Katherine A. & McClain Katherine T., 1995. "House Prices during Siting Decision Stages: The Case of an Incinerator from Rumor through Operation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 241-255, March.
    17. Harting, Philipp & Radi, Davide, 2020. "Residential segregation: The role of inequality and housing subsidies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 801-819.
    18. Ingrid Gould Ellen & Michael H. Schill & Scott Susin & Amy Ellen Schwartz, 2001. "Building Homes, Reviving Neighborhoods: Spillovers from Subsidized Construction of Owner-Occupied Housing in New York City," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 185-216, January.
    19. William A. Rabiega & Ta-Win Lin & Linda M. Robinson, 1984. "The Property Value Impacts of Public Housing Projects in Low and Moderate Density Residential Neighborhoods," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 60(2), pages 174-179.
    20. Hu, Xiao & Liang, Che-Yuan, 2022. "Does income redistribution prevent residential segregation?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 519-542.
    21. Hagemann, Andreas, 2019. "Placebo inference on treatment effects when the number of clusters is small," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 190-209.
    22. Bauer, Thomas K. & Braun, Sebastian T. & Kvasnicka, Michael, 2017. "Nuclear power plant closures and local housing values: Evidence from Fukushima and the German housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 94-106.
    23. Ingrid Gould Ellen & Amy Ellen Schwartz & Ioan Voicu & Michael H. Schill, 2007. "Does federally subsidized rental housing depress neighborhood property values?," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 257-280.
    24. George Galster, 2007. "Neighbourhood Social Mix as a Goal of Housing Policy: A Theoretical Analysis," International Journal of Housing Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-43.
    25. Baum-Snow, Nathaniel & Marion, Justin, 2009. "The effects of low income housing tax credit developments on neighborhoods," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(5-6), pages 654-666, June.
    26. Hyun, Dongwoo & Milcheva, Stanimira, 2019. "Spatio-temporal effects of an urban development announcement and its cancellation on house prices: A quasi-natural experiment," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 23-36.
    27. Stephen Gibbons & Susana Mourato & Guilherme Resende, 2014. "The Amenity Value of English Nature: A Hedonic Price Approach," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 57(2), pages 175-196, February.
    28. Rebecca Diamond & Tim McQuade, 2019. "Who Wants Affordable Housing in Their Backyard? An Equilibrium Analysis of Low-Income Property Development," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(3), pages 1063-1117.
    29. Lucija Muehlenbachs & Elisheba Spiller & Christopher Timmins, 2016. "The Housing Market Impacts of Shale Gas Development: Corrigendum," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(2), pages 475-475, February.
    30. Haisken-DeNew, John & Hasan, Syed & Jha, Nikhil & Sinning, Mathias, 2018. "Unawareness and selective disclosure: The effect of school quality information on property prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 449-464.
    31. Albouy, David & Christensen, Peter & Sarmiento-Barbieri, Ignacio, 2020. "Unlocking amenities: Estimating public good complementarity," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    32. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1ck6j135a79b5pqdagv8visfep is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Changsu Ko & Jinsoo Bae & Heepyung Cho, 2026. "Neighborhood effects of buy‐to‐rent and build‐to‐rent public housing," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 44(1), pages 169-185, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Blanco, Hector & Neri, Lorenzo, 2023. "Knocking It Down and Mixing It Up: The Impact of Public Housing Regenerations," IZA Discussion Papers 15855, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Milena Almagro & Eric Chyn & Bryan A. Stuart, 2023. "Urban Renewal and Inequality: Evidence from Chicago's Public Housing Demolitions," NBER Working Papers 30838, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Li, Keyang & Su, Shidong & Zhang, Fan & Zhang, Yanjiang, 2026. "Public housing and market segmentation: Evidence from the Joint Property Ownership scheme in China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    4. Ismail, Mohammad & Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2022. "New housing investments' effects on gentrification and affordability in Stockholm, Sweden," Working Paper Series 22/8, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    5. Changsu Ko & Jinsoo Bae & Heepyung Cho, 2026. "Neighborhood effects of buy‐to‐rent and build‐to‐rent public housing," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 44(1), pages 169-185, January.
    6. Albouy, David & Christensen, Peter & Sarmiento-Barbieri, Ignacio, 2020. "Unlocking amenities: Estimating public good complementarity," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    7. Rebecca Diamond & Tim McQuade, 2019. "Who Wants Affordable Housing in Their Backyard? An Equilibrium Analysis of Low-Income Property Development," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(3), pages 1063-1117.
    8. Guillaume Chapelle & Laurent Gobillon & Benjamin Vignolles, 2025. "Building without income mixing: Public housing quotas in France," Working Papers halshs-05039367, HAL.
    9. Tanrisever, Idil, 2025. "Spillover effects of accessory dwelling unit development," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    10. Nicholas Chiumenti & Amrita Kulka & Aradhya Sood, 2022. "How to Increase Housing Affordability: Understanding Local Deterrents to Building Multifamily Housing," Working Papers 22-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    11. Ambrose, Brent W. & Valentin, Maxence, 2025. "Federal tax policy and the capitalization of local public goods," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    12. Blanco, Hector, 2023. "Pecuniary effects of public housing demolitions: Evidence from Chicago," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    13. Andreas Mense, 2025. "The Impact of New Housing Supply on the Distribution of Rents," Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 1-42.
    14. Divya Singh, 2020. "Do Property Tax Incentives for New Construction Spur Gentrification? Evidence from New York City," 2020 Papers psi856, Job Market Papers.
    15. Lang, Corey & VanCeylon, Jarron, 2025. "Voting with their (left and right) feet: Are homebuyers’ values of neighborhood environmental amenities consistent with their politics?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    16. Voith, Richard & Liu, Jing & Zielenbach, Sean & Jakabovics, Andrew & An, Brian & Rodnyansky, Seva & Orlando, Anthony W. & Bostic, Raphael W., 2022. "Effects of concentrated LIHTC development on surrounding house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    17. Eerola, Essi & Saarimaa, Tuukka, 2018. "Delivering affordable housing and neighborhood quality: A comparison of place- and tenant-based programs," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 44-54.
    18. Lily Shen & Stephen L. Ross, 2019. "Information Value of Property Description: A Machine Learning Approach," Working papers 2019-20, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2020.
    19. Couture, Victor & Handbury, Jessie, 2020. "Urban revival in America," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    20. Zhaoyang Liu & Heqing Huang & Juha Siikamäki & Jintao Xu, 2024. "Area-Based Hedonic Pricing of Urban Green Amenities in Beijing: A Spatial Piecewise Approach," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(5), pages 1223-1248, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:101:y:2025:i:334:p:348-376. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/esausea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.