IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/asiaec/v22y2008i3p225-240.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Human Capital and Economic Growth in Asia 1890–2000: A Time‐series Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Bas Van Leeuwen
  • Peter Foldvari

Abstract

There is a general consensus that human capital is a major factor behind long‐run economic growth. Yet, on a macro level, the empirical results do not always seem to concur with this view. To explain this gap between theory and empirics, more focus has been laid on measurement error and data quality. Using an alternative estimate of the stock of human capital, based on Judson (2002), we find evidence that the two major views on the role of human capital in economic development by Lucas (1988) and Romer (1990) coexist and are by no means mutually exclusive. Using a Johansen cointegration test, we find that in India and Indonesia the level of human capital is cointegrated with the level of aggregate income during the whole 20th century, which confirms the theory of Lucas (1988). In Japan, however, the Lucasian approach can be verified only for the first half of the century, while after 1950 there is cointegration between the growth rate of aggregate income and the level of human capital, which is in line with Romer's view.

Suggested Citation

  • Bas Van Leeuwen & Peter Foldvari, 2008. "Human Capital and Economic Growth in Asia 1890–2000: A Time‐series Analysis," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 22(3), pages 225-240, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:asiaec:v:22:y:2008:i:3:p:225-240
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8381.2008.00276.x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8381.2008.00276.x
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/j.1467-8381.2008.00276.x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. Angus Maddison & D. S. Prasada & William Shepherd (ed.), 2002. "The Asian Economies in the Twentieth Century," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1721.
    3. Benjamin Cheng & Robert Hsu, 1997. "Human capital and economic growth in Japan: an application of time series analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(6), pages 393-395.
    4. Daniel Cohen & Marcelo Soto, 2007. "Growth and human capital: good data, good results," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 51-76, March.
    5. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
    6. Mikael Lindahl & Alan B. Krueger, 2001. "Education for Growth: Why and for Whom?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(4), pages 1101-1136, December.
    7. Angel de la Fuente & Rafael Doménech, 2006. "Human Capital in Growth Regressions: How Much Difference Does Data Quality Make?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1-36, March.
    8. Milton Barossi-Filho & Ricardo Gonçalves Silva & Eliezer Martins Diniz, 2005. "The empirics of the Solow growth model: Long-term evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8, pages 31-51, May.
    9. Miguel Portela & Rob Alessie & Coen Teulings, 2010. "Measurement Error in Education and Growth Regressions," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 112(3), pages 618-639, September.
    10. Milton Barossi-Filho & Ricardo Gonçalves Silva & Eliezer Martins Diniz, 2005. "The Empirics of the Solow Growth Model: Long-Term Evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 31-51, May.
    11. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    12. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    13. Barossi-Filho, Milton & Goncalves Silva, Ricardo & Diniz, Eliezer Martins, 2005. "The empirics of the Solow Growth Model: Long-term evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, May.
    14. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    15. Serena Ng & Pierre Perron, 2001. "LAG Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(6), pages 1519-1554, November.
    16. Judson, Ruth, 2002. "Measuring Human Capital Like Physical Capital: What Does It Tell Us?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(3), pages 209-231, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mate Domician, 2014. "The Impact Of Labour Market Institutions On Productivity In A Sectoral Approach," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 359-368, July.
    2. Dmitry Didenko & Péter Földvári & Bas van Leeuwen, 2013. "Inspiration and Perspiration Factors in Economic Growth: The Former Soviet Union Area versus China (ca. 1920-2010)," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-283, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    3. Péter Földvári & Bas van Leeuwen & Dmitry Didenko, 2015. "Capital formation and economic growth under central planning and transition: A theoretical and empirical analysis, ca. 1920–2008," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 65(1), pages 27-50, March.
    4. Luis Orea & Antonio Alvarez, 2022. "Alternative specifications of human capital in production functions," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 172-179.
    5. Sultana, Tanzila & Dey, Sima Rani & Tareque, Mohammad, 2022. "Exploring the linkage between human capital and economic growth: A look at 141 developing and developed countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
    6. A. A. Aletdinova & A. V. Koritsky, 2020. "Comparative Analysis of the Return on Human Capital in the European and Asian Regions of Russia," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 213-219, April.
    7. Imran HUSSAIN & Ramesh CHANDRA DAS, 2023. "Human Capital Formation And Economic Growth Relationships: Panel Data Insights For The Indian States," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 57-71, June.
    8. Guzev, ?.?. & Ledeneva, ?.V. & Plaksunova, ?.?, 2018. "Main Tendencies In The Development Of Human Capital In The Russian Federation, 2011-2016," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 18(2), pages 55-72.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jochen Hartwig, 2009. "A panel Granger-causality test of endogenous vs. exogenous growth," KOF Working papers 09-231, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    2. Uwe Sunde & Thomas Vischer, 2015. "Human Capital and Growth: Specification Matters," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 82(326), pages 368-390, April.
    3. Bas van Leeuwen & Peter Földvári, 2013. "Capital Accumulation and Growth in Central Europe, 1920-2006," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(5), pages 69-93, September.
    4. Zahra Sheidaei & Mohammadnabi Shahiki Tash, 2014. "The Cumulative Effect of Human Capital on Economic Growth: Using Panel Data Method," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(52), pages 95-115, June.
    5. ?gel de la Fuente, "undated". "Convergence Across Countries And Regions: Theory And Empirics," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 447.00, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    6. Michael S. Delgado & Daniel J. Henderson & Christopher F. Parmeter, 2014. "Does Education Matter for Economic Growth?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(3), pages 334-359, June.
    7. Åsa Johansson, 2016. "Public Finance, Economic Growth and Inequality: A Survey of the Evidence," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1346, OECD Publishing.
    8. Singh, Tarlok, 2010. "Does domestic saving cause economic growth? A time-series evidence from India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 231-253, March.
    9. Bergheim, Stefan, 2007. "Pair-wise cointegration in long-run growth models," Research Notes 24, Deutsche Bank Research.
    10. Capolupo, Rosa, 2009. "The New Growth Theories and Their Empirics after Twenty Years," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-72.
    11. Hartwig, Jochen, 2012. "Testing the growth effects of structural change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 11-24.
    12. David E. Bloom & Alex Khoury & Vadim Kufenko & Klaus Prettner, 2021. "Spurring Economic Growth through Human Development: Research Results and Guidance for Policymakers," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 47(2), pages 377-409, June.
    13. Juchem Neto, J.P. & Claeyssen, J.C.R. & Pôrto Júnior, S.S., 2018. "Economic agglomerations and spatio-temporal cycles in a spatial growth model with capital transport cost," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 76-86.
    14. Ulaşan, Bülent, 2012. "Cross-country growth empirics and model uncertainty: An overview," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-69.
    15. Les OXxley & Ttrinh Le & John Gibson, 2008. "Measuring Human Capital: Alternative Methods and International Evidence," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 24, pages 283-344.
    16. Berthold, Norbert & Gründler, Klaus, 2012. "Entrepreneurship and economic growth in a panel of countries," Discussion Paper Series 118, Julius Maximilian University of Würzburg, Chair of Economic Order and Social Policy.
    17. Nguyen, Trang & Chaiechi, Taha & Eagle, Lynne & Low, David, 2020. "Dynamic impacts of SME stock market development and innovation on macroeconomic indicators: A Post-Keynesian approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 327-347.
    18. Hartwig, Jochen, 2014. "Testing the Uzawa–Lucas model with OECD data," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 144-156.
    19. Claude DIEBOLT & Charlotte LE CHAPELAIN, 2019. "Human Capital and Economic Growth," Working Papers of BETA 2019-02, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    20. Lau, Sau-Him Paul, 2008. "Using an error-correction model to test whether endogenous long-run growth exists," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 648-676, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:asiaec:v:22:y:2008:i:3:p:225-240. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eaeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.