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Financial Stress and Economic Activity

Author

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  • Stijn Claessens
  • M.Ayhan Köse
  • Marco E.Terrones

Abstract

This paper briefly summarizes the results presented in Claessens, Köse and Terrones (2008a, 2008b) to provide a set of basic stylized facts about the linkages between macroeconomic and financial variables during recessions and episodes of financial stress, including the periods of credit crunches and asset (house and equity) price busts. The analysis employs a comprehensive database of key macroeconomic and financial variables for 21 OECD countries over the 1960-2007 period. The results indicate that recessions following periods of financial stress are often longer and deeper than other recessions are. The paper concludes with a short discussion of the implications of its findings for the current crisis

Suggested Citation

  • Stijn Claessens & M.Ayhan Köse & Marco E.Terrones, 2008. "Financial Stress and Economic Activity," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, vol. 2(2), pages 11-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdd:journl:v:2:y:2008:i:2:p:11-24
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar S. Prasad & Marco E. Terrones, 2003. "How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 57-62, May.
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    7. Ayhan Kose, M. & Otrok, Christopher & Whiteman, Charles H., 2008. "Understanding the evolution of world business cycles," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 110-130, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chau, Frankie & Deesomsak, Rataporn, 2014. "Does linkage fuel the fire? The transmission of financial stress across the markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 57-70.
    2. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Dibooglu, Sel & Kenc, Turalay, 2013. "Measuring financial stress in Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 370-383.
    3. Yusuf Yildirim & Anirban Sanyal, 2023. "Financial Stress and Effect on Real Economy: Turkish Experience," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 46-67.
    4. Cevik, Emrah I. & Dibooglu, Sel & Kenc, Turalay, 2016. "Financial stress and economic activity in some emerging Asian economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 127-139.
    5. repec:pra:mprapa:99376 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Didem Gunes & Ferhat Camlica, 2016. "Financial Stress and Economic Activity : A Threshold VAR Analysis for Turkey," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1628, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    7. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2013. "Measuring financial stress in transition economies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 597-611.
    8. Hussin Abdullah & Jauhari Dahalan & Khaw Lee Hwei & Mohammed Umar & Md Mohan Uddin, 2017. "Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 227-235.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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