IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v7y2023i10p857-877.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fiscal Dominance and Monetary Policy Efficacy in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Bello, Abdulmajeed Kumo

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Central Business District, FCT Abuja)

  • Joshua Adams Ndako

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Central Business District, FCT Abuja)

  • Yusuf, Fadimah

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Central Business District, FCT Abuja)

  • Amodu Amina Ejura

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Central Business District, FCT Abuja)

Abstract

This study examines the effects of fiscal dominance on monetary policy efficacy in Nigeria. Specifically, it examines the extent to which fiscal deficits influenced the growth of money supply and inflation in Nigeria. It utilizes money growth accounting as the framework, and it is estimated through the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model to achieve the objectives of the study. The results show that fiscal deficit has a positive and significant relationship with the inflation rate in Nigeria. This indicates evidence of fiscal dominance for Nigeria and that fractions of Nigerian inflationary pressures emanate from fiscal deficits, thus, hampering the efficacy of monetary policy. The study, therefore, suggests that policy attempts to stabilize prices in Nigeria must not only be monetary in nature but must also take cognizance of fiscal actions into considerations. Hence, there is need for continuous fiscal-monetary policy coordination to ensure a delicate balance between the duo in achieving key macroeconomic objectives.

Suggested Citation

  • Bello, Abdulmajeed Kumo & Joshua Adams Ndako & Yusuf, Fadimah & Amodu Amina Ejura, 2023. "Fiscal Dominance and Monetary Policy Efficacy in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(10), pages 857-877, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:10:p:857-877
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-7-issue-10/857-877.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/fiscal-dominance-and-monetary-policy-efficacy-in-nigeria/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Benjamin Ayodele Folorunso, 2013. "Relationship between Fiscal Deficit and Public Debt in Nigeria: an Error Correction Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(6), pages 346-355.
    2. Schabert, Andreas, 2010. "Monetary policy under a fiscal theory of sovereign default," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 860-868, March.
    3. Mwigeka, Samwel, 2015. "Do Budget Deficit Crowds out Private Investment: A Case of Tanzanian Economy," American Journal of Trade and Policy, Asian Business Consortium, vol. 2(1), pages 11-18.
    4. Abu Nurudeen & Karim Mohd Zaini Abd, 2015. "The Non-Linear Relationship Between Fiscal Deficits And Inflation: Evidence From Africa," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 10(2), pages 102-112, December.
    5. Ammama & Dr. Khalid Mughal & Dr. Muhammad Aslam Khan, 2011. "Fiscal deficit and its impact on inflation, Causality and Co-integration: The Experience of Pakistan (1960-2010)," Far East Journal of Psychology and Business, Far East Research Centre, vol. 5(2), pages 51-62, December.
    6. A. S. Benetrix & P. R. Lane, 2013. "Fiscal Shocks and the Real Exchange Rate," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 9(3), pages 6-37, September.
    7. Neaime, Simon, 2015. "Twin deficits and the sustainability of public debt and exchange rate policies in Lebanon," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 127-143.
    8. Eusepi, Stefano & Preston, Bruce, 2011. "Learning the fiscal theory of the price level: Some consequences of debt-management policy," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 358-379.
    9. Lin, Hsin-Yi & Chu, Hao-Pang, 2013. "Are fiscal deficits inflationary?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 214-233.
    10. José Augusto Lopes da Veiga & Alexandra Ferreira-Lopes & Tiago Neves Sequeira, 2016. "Public Debt, Economic Growth and Inflation in African Economies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(2), pages 294-322, June.
    11. Maitra, Biswajit, 2019. "Macroeconomic impact of public debt and foreign aid in Sri Lanka," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 372-394.
    12. Neaime, Simon, 2015. "Sustainability of budget deficits and public debts in selected European Union countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21.
    13. Jalil, Abdul & Tariq, Rabbia & Bibi, Nazia, 2014. "Fiscal deficit and inflation: New evidences from Pakistan using a bounds testing approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 120-126.
    14. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & A. P. Tiwari, 2011. "Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: An empirical analysis for India," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 14(42), pages 131-158, December.
    15. Ari Aisen & David Hauner, 2013. "Budget deficits and interest rates: a fresh perspective," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(17), pages 2501-2510, June.
    16. Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi & Christian Nsiah, 2020. "Fiscal dominance and inflation: Evidence from Nigerian and South African’s experiences," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1814508-181, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abdul Jalil & Hafsa Hina (ed.), 2024. "Monetary Policy: Crafting a Path for Pakistans Economic Stability," PIDE Books, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, number 2024:03.
    2. Kashif Ali & Mahmood Khalid, 2019. "Sources to Finance Fiscal Deficit and Their Impact on Inflation: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 58(1), pages 27-43.
    3. Olusola Joel Oyeleke, 2021. "On the Non-Linear Relationship between Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: The Nigeria Experience," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 27(2), pages 105-117, May.
    4. Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Bandi Kamaiah, 2021. "Fiscal policy and macroeconomic effects: structural macroeconometric model and simulation analysis," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 23(1), pages 81-105, June.
    5. Hanana Khan & Maran Marimuthu & Fong-Woon Lai, 2020. "Fiscal Deficit and Its Less Inflationary Sources of Borrowing with the Moderating Role of Political Instability: Evidence from Malaysia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, January.
    6. Neaime, Simon & Gaysset, Isabelle, 2024. "Financial inclusion, integration, and stability asymmetries in the Mediterranean region," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    7. Neaime, Simon & Gaysset, Isabelle, 2017. "Sustainability of macroeconomic policies in selected MENA countries: Post financial and debt crises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 129-140.
    8. Cristina Checherita-Westphal & Nadine Leiner-Killinger & Teresa Schildmann, 2025. "Euro area inflation differentials: the role of fiscal policies revisited," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(2), pages 803-854, February.
    9. Godwin Essang Esu,(PhD), 2023. "Fiscal Imbalances, Economic Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(8), pages 887-901, August.
    10. Akingbade U. Aimola & Nicholas M. Odhiambo & Christian Nsiah, 2021. "Public debt and inflation nexus in Nigeria: An ARDL bounds test approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1921905-192, January.
    11. Abel M. Agoba, 2021. "Minimising the inflationary impact of fiscal deficits in Africa: The role of monetary, financial and political institutions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 724-740, January.
    12. Neaime, Simon & Gaysset, Isabelle, 2022. "Macroeconomic and monetary policy responses in selected highly indebted MENA countries post Covid 19: A structural VAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    13. Olaoye, Olumide Olusegun & Olomola, P.A., 2022. "Empirical analysis of asymmetry phenomenon in the public debt structure of Sub-Saharan Africa's five biggest economies: A Markov-Switching model," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    14. Van Bon Nguyen, 2022. "Does governance matter for the public debt–inflation relationship in developed countries? Panel quantile regression approach," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(4), pages 1153-1173, December.
    15. Akingbade U. Aimola & Nicholas M. Odhiambo & Christian Nsiah, 2021. "Public debt and inflation nexus in Nigeria: An ARDL bounds test approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1921905-192, January.
    16. Neaime, Simon & Gaysset, Isabelle & Badra, Nasser, 2018. "The eurozone debt crisis: A structural VAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 22-33.
    17. Bilal Raza & Khurram S Mughal, 2022. "Fiscal Determinants of Inflation in Pakistan," SBP Working Paper Series 108, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    18. Danijela DURKALIĆ & Mihailo ĆURČIĆ, 2019. "Comparative analysis of debt sustainability of EU countries and EU candidates: the Promethee-Gaia approach," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 67-92, June.
    19. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi, 2020. "Application of Bootstrap Simulation and Asymmetric Causal Approach to Fiscal Deficit-Inflation Nexus," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(2), pages 123-140, May.
    20. Ayesha Mushtaq & Khalid Zaman, 2013. "Macroeconomic Factors Affecting Budget Deficit in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis," Oeconomics of Knowledge, Saphira Publishing House, vol. 5(4), pages 17-33, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:7:y:2023:i:10:p:857-877. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.