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Calf Retention And Production Decisions Over Time

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  • Lambert, David K.

Abstract

Ranch production and marketing decisions occur sequentially over time as uncertainty regarding future events is resolved. The model developed in this paper explicitly considers the sequential nature of ranch decision making in determining optimal strategies for calf retention and production. A number of optimal decisions are reported for each period, conditional upon the state of nature and expected future events at that decision node. Solutions are found to be dependent on observed and expected output prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Lambert, David K., 1989. "Calf Retention And Production Decisions Over Time," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(01), pages 1-11, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32445
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32445
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John M. Antle, 1983. "Sequential Decision Making in Production Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(2), pages 282-290.
    2. Tesfaye Gebremeskel & C. Richard Shumway, 1979. "Farm Planning and Calf Marketing Strategies for Risk Management: An Application of Linear Programming and Statistical Decision Theory," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 61(2), pages 363-370.
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    1. Popp, Michael P. & Faminow, Merle D. & Parsch, Lucas D., 1998. "Adoption Of Backgrounding On Cow-Calf Farms," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20800, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Rose, G. & Mulder, H.A. & Thompson, A.N. & van der Werf, J.H.J. & van Arendonk, J.A.M., 2014. "Varying pasture growth and commodity prices change the value of traits in sheep breeding objectives," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 94-104.
    3. Tang, Minfeng & Lewis, Karen E. & Griffith, Andrew P. & Boyer, Christopher N., 2016. "Identifying Factors that Impact Returns to Retained Ownership of Cattle," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229766, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Diakité, Z.R. & Corson, M.S. & Brunschwig, G. & Baumont, R. & Mosnier, C., 2019. "Profit stability of mixed dairy and beef production systems of the mountain area of southern Auvergne (France) in the face of price variations: Bioeconomic simulation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 126-134.
    5. Fausti, Scott W. & Johnson, Brad & Epperson, William & Grathwohl, Nancy, 2003. "Risk and the Economic Incentive to Retain Ownership of Steer Calves," Economics Staff Papers 32023, South Dakota State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Schilizzi, S. G. M. & Kingwell, R. S., 1999. "Effects of climatic and price uncertainty on the value of legume crops in a Mediterranean-type environment," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 55-69, May.
    7. Taylor, R. Garth & Young, Robert A., 1995. "Rural-To-Urban Water Transfers: Measuring Direct Foregone Benefits Of Irrigation Water Under Uncertain Water Supplies," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 1-16, December.
    8. Novak, Frank & Eales, James & Munro, Earl, 1993. "Profitability and Risk of Retained Ownership of Beef Calves," Project Report Series 232371, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    9. Mosnier, C. & Agabriel, J. & Lherm, M. & Reynaud, A., 2009. "A dynamic bio-economic model to simulate optimal adjustments of suckler cow farm management to production and market shocks in France," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 102(1-3), pages 77-88, October.
    10. Kingwell, Ross S., 1992. "The Tactics of Dryland Farm Management given Variance in Climate and Prices," 1992 Conference (36th), February 10-13, 1992, Canberra, Australia 146536, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    11. Apland, Jeffrey & Hauer, Grant, 1993. "Discrete Stochastic Programming: Concepts, Examples And A Review Of Empirical Applications," Staff Papers 13793, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    12. Tronstad, Russell & Teegerstrom, Trent, 2001. "Managing Herd Composition Of Range Cattle: Sale Weight And Seasonal Factors," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36058, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    13. Mjelde, James & Conner, J. Richard & Nixon, Clair, 1991. "Impacts of Tax Laws on Marketing Rangeland Calves and Yearlings," WAEA/ WFEA Conference Archive (1929-1995) 321482, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    14. Tsakiridis, Andreas & Breen, James & O'Donoghue, Cathal & Hanrahan, Kevin & Wallace, Michael & Crosson, Paul, 2016. "Flexibility of beef suckler cow systems under varying calf retention strategies," 90th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2016, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 236289, Agricultural Economics Society.

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