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Identifying Economic Risk In Cattle Feeding

Author

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  • Mark, Darrell R.
  • Schroeder, Ted C.
  • Jones, Rodney D.

Abstract

Closeout data from two western Kansas commercial feedlots are examined to determine how cattle prices, feed costs, and animal performance impact the variability of cattle feeding profits. The relative impacts of these factors are studied across sex, placement weight, and placement month using standardized beta coefficients. Feeder cattle prices have a greater impact on profit variability for spring and fall placements. The effect of animal performance on variability of cattle feeding profits is greater for fall placements. Results suggest that fed cattle and feeder cattle prices should be emphasized in managing the overall risk in cattle feeding because they are the largest contributors to profit variability.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark, Darrell R. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Jones, Rodney D., 2000. "Identifying Economic Risk In Cattle Feeding," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 18(3), pages 1-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jloagb:14712
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.14712
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Steven T. Buccola, 1980. "An Approach to the Analysis of Feeder Cattle Price Differentials," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(3), pages 574-580.
    2. Langemeier, Michael R. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Mintert, James R., 1992. "Determinants Of Cattle Finishing Profitability," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-7, December.
    3. E. R. Swanson & V. I. West, 1963. "Statistical Analysis of Feeder Cattle Returns," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 146-150.
    4. Schroeder, Ted C. & Albright, Martin L. & Langemeier, Michael R. & Mintert, James R., 1993. "Determinants of Cattle Feeding Profit and Cost of Gain Variability," Staff Papers 118161, Kansas State University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Maples, Joshua G. & Coatney, Kalyn T. & Riley, John M. & Karisch, Brandi B. & Parish, Jane A. & Vann, Rhonda C., 2015. "Comparing Carcass End-Point And Profit Maximization Decision Rules Using Dynamic Nonlinear Growth Functions," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 1-25, February.
    2. Forristall, Cody & May, Gary J. & Lawrence, John D., 2002. "Assessing The Cost Of Beef Quality," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19060, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Tang, Minfeng & Lewis, Karen E. & Griffith, Andrew P. & Boyer, Christopher N., 2016. "Identifying Factors that Impact Returns to Retained Ownership of Cattle," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229766, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Schroeder, Ted C. & Tonsor, Glynn T., 2011. "Economic Impacts of Zilmax(R) Adoption in Cattle Feeding," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(3), pages 1-15.
    5. Lewis, Karen & Griffith, Andrew & Boyer, Christopher & Rhinehart, Justin, 2015. "Returns to Retained Ownership through Finishing for Beef Cattle Originating from Tennessee," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196620, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    6. Janzen, Matthew & Coatney, Kalyn T. & Rivera, Daniel & Harri, Ardian & Riley, John Michael & Busby, Darrell & Groves, Matt, 2017. "Fed Cattle Marketing: A Field Experiment," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 252844, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Perry, William R. & Marsh, Thomas & Jones, Rodney & Sanderson, M.W. & Sargeant, J.M. & Griffin, D.D. & Smith, R.A., 2007. "Joint product management strategies for E. coli O157 and feedlot profits," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5-6), pages 544-565.
    8. Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur, 2006. "Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21404, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Belasco, Eric J. & Taylor, Mykel R. & Goodwin, Barry K. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2009. "Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(01), pages 1-15, April.
    10. McKendree, Melissa G.S. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schulz, Lee L., 2021. "Management of Multiple Sources of Risk in Livestock Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(1), pages 75-93, February.
    11. Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur, 2006. "Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts Under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods," Working Papers 28549, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    12. May, Gary J. & Lawrence, John D., 2002. "A Decision Model To Assess Cattle Feeding Price Risk," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19067, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    13. Parcell, Joseph L. & Schaefer, Daniel & Patterson, David J. & John, Mike & Kerley, Monty S. & Haden, Kent, 2008. "Assessing the Value of Coordinated Sire Genetics in a Synchronized AI Program," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37618, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    14. Mathews, Kenneth H., Jr. & Arnade, Carlos Anthony & Jones, Keithly G., 2008. "Derived Demand for Cattle Feeding Inputs," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 26(01), pages 1-20.
    15. Braelyn Moltz & Mark Yu & Edward Osei & W. Brandon Smith & Brant Poe, 2019. "The Economic Analysis of Corn Grain Optimization and Price Variation for Cattle on Feed in Texas," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, July.
    16. Maré, F.A. & Willemse, B.J., 2011. "PR - Should Maize Farmers Consider A Long Term Feedlot In Response To Low Maize Prices: The Case Of The South African Market (p287-296)," 18th Congress, Methven, New Zealand, 2011 345582, International Farm Management Association.
    17. McKendree, Melissa G.S. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schulz, Lee, "undated". "Feedlot operators’ decision making regarding price and animal health risk," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258462, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Maples, Joshua G. & Harri, Ardian & Riley, John Michael & Tack, Jesse B., 2013. "Marketing Margins and Input Price Uncertainty," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150604, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    19. Belasco, Eric J., 2008. "The Role of Price Risk Management in Mitigating Fed Cattle Profit Exposure," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(3), pages 1-17.
    20. Franken, Jason & Parcell, Joe, 2016. "Forecasting Quality Grade and Certified Angus Beef Premiums," 2016 Conference, April 18-19, 2016, St. Louis, Missouri 285862, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    21. Boyer, Christopher N. & Griffith, Andrew P., 2023. "Subsidy Rate Changes on Livestock Risk Protection for Feeder Cattle," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 48(01), January.
    22. Nicolás Acevedo Vélez, 2007. "The cattle crush strategy: trading opportunities for cattle producers," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT.

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