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Short and Long Run Determinants of Private Investment in Argentina

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  • Acosta, Pablo
  • Loza, Andres

Abstract

This study provides an empirical analysis of the macroeconomic factors that can potentially affect investment decisions in Argentina in a short, medium and long run perspective. Both the theory and the empirical literature are reviewed in order to identify a private investment function for the last three decades (1970-2000). The results suggest that investment decisions seem to be determined, in the short run, by shocks in returns (exchange rate, trade liberalization) and in aggregate demand. Besides, there is evidence of a “crowding-out” effect of public investment. In the long run, the capital accumulation path seems to be closely dependent on both well-developed financial and credit markets and on perspectives of fiscal sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Acosta, Pablo & Loza, Andres, 2005. "Short and Long Run Determinants of Private Investment in Argentina," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8(2), pages 1-18, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jaecon:37161
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37161
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    2. Muhammad Suleman & Abdur Rehman & Haroon Javaid, 2020. "Determinants of Private Investment in Pakistan," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 2(3), pages 86-92.
    3. Masron, tajul & Mohd Nor, Abu Hassan Shaari, 2012. "AIA, AFTA and Domestic Private Investment: Evidence from Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 46(2), pages 93-99.
    4. Pablo Acosta & Leonardo Gasparini, 2007. "Capital Accumulation, Trade Liberalization, and Rising Wage Inequality: The Case of Argentina," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 55(4), pages 793-812, July.
    5. Emmanuel Kwasi Mensah & Lawrence Adu Asamoah & Johnson Worlanyo Ahiadorme, 2021. "On the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on private investment in Ghana," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 208-217, January.
    6. Beteta, Hugo E. & Moreno Brid, Juan Carlos, 2014. "Structural change and growth in Central America and the Dominican Republic: an overview of two decades, 1990-2011," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 37342 edited by Eclac.
    7. Kul B. Luintel & George Mavrotas, 2005. "Examining Private Investment Heterogeneity: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2005-11, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Nwanne, Nkem, 2017. "An Examination of the Neutrality of US Money Supply on the Nigerian Economy," MPRA Paper 82227, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Le Thanh Tung, 2018. "The Impact Of Remittances On Domestic Investment In Developing Countries: Fresh Evidence From The Asia-Pacific Region," Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies, Faculty of Economics, Vilnius University, vol. 9(2).
    10. Sambulo Malumisa, 2013. "Comparative Analysis of the Determinants and Behaviour of Investment Demand between South Africa and Zimbabwe," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(6), pages 385-397.
    11. Mr. Alvaro Piris Chavarri, 2010. "Investment by Large Firms in Argentina," IMF Working Papers 2010/003, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Kadir KARAGÖZ, 2010. "Determining Factors of Private Investments: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 2010-1.
    13. Ambaye, Guesh Gebremeske & Berhanu, T. & Abera, G., 2013. "Modeling the Determinats of Domestic Private Investments in Ethiopia," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 5(4), pages 1-11, December.
    14. Muzurura, Joe, 2016. "Determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Zimbabwe: What factors matter?," MPRA Paper 99873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Jun 2016.
    15. Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Wee-Yeap Lau, 2018. "Does Financial and Trade liberalization Drive Private Investment in Pakistan?," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 5(1), pages 112-120.
    16. Long, Shaobo & Pei, Hongxia & Tian, Hao & Li, Fangfang, 2021. "Asymmetric impacts of economic policy uncertainty, capital cost, and raw material cost on China’s investment," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 129-144.
    17. Assa, Maganga & Abdi, Edriss K., 2012. "Selected Macroeconomic Variables Affecting Private Investment in Malawi," MPRA Paper 40698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Karel Brůna & Jiří Pour, 2023. "Population aging and structural over/underinvestment," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2339-2383, August.
    19. NGEPAH, NICHOLAS & EITA , JOEL HINAUNYE & BIYASE , MDUDUZI & Saba, Charles, 2023. "The Effect of Transnet's Capital Expenditure and Investment in Various other Selected Sectors of the South African Economy," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 76(1), pages 65-90.
    20. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Duration of membership in the world trade organization and investment-oriented remittances inflows," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 258-277.
    21. Azhgaliyeva, Dina & Beirne, John & Mishra, Ranjeeta, 2021. "What Matters for Private Investment Financing in Renewable Energy Globally and in Asia?," ADBI Working Papers 1246, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    22. Maame Esi Eshun & George Adu & Emmanuel Buabeng, 2014. "The Financial Determinants of Private Investment in Ghana," International Journal of Financial Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(1), pages 25-40.
    23. Eslamloueyan, Karim & Jafari, Mahboubeh, 2019. "Do better institutions offset the adverse effect of a financial crisis on investment? Evidence from East Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 154-172.
    24. Thomas Galih Pramudita & Setyabudi Indartono & Maimun Sholeh, 2019. "The Antecedent of Domestic Investment in Indonesia: Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 138-144.
    25. Jiří Pour, 2020. "Analýza relativní přeinvestovanosti či podinvestovanosti ekonomik na panelových datech 122 zemí světa [Analysis of Relative Over-investment and Under-investment of Economies on Panel Data for 122 C," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(3), pages 290-321.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

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