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The Possibility of a Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Kenya

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  • Otsuka, Keijiro
  • Yamano, Takashi

Abstract

It is widely believed that a Green Revolution similar to the one achieved in Asia is impossible in Sub-Saharan Africa. Although grain yields have been stagnant in this region, there are some signs of the intensification of farming systems in the face of growing population pressure on limited land resources. In this paper we focus on the new farming system based on the use of manure produced by dairy cows, which may be termed an “Organic Green Revolution.” Using the farm household data collected from Kenya, this paper demonstrates that the Organic Green Revolution has a potential of doubling maize yields in highlands of Kenya.

Suggested Citation

  • Otsuka, Keijiro & Yamano, Takashi, 2005. "The Possibility of a Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Kenya," eJADE: electronic Journal of Agricultural and Development Economics, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Agricultural and Development Economics Division (ESA), vol. 2(01), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ejade1:110141
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.110141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Haggblade, Steven, 2004. "Building on successes in African agriculture," 2020 vision focus 12, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. C. Peter Timmer, 1969. "The Turnip, the New Husbandry, and the English Agricultural Revolution," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 83(3), pages 375-395.
    3. Gabre-Madhin, Eleni Z. & Haggblade, Steven, 2004. "Successes in African Agriculture: Results of an Expert Survey," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 745-766, May.
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    2. Keijiro OTSUKA & Kaliappa P. KALIRAJAN, 2006. "Rice Green Revolution In Asia And Its Transferability To Africa: An Introduction," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 44(2), pages 107-122, June.
    3. Amsalu Tilahun & Wim Cornelis & Steven Sleutel & Abebe Nigussie & Bayu Dume & Eric Van Ranst, 2021. "The Potential of Termite Mound Spreading for Soil Fertility Management under Low Input Subsistence Agriculture," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-16, October.
    4. Nakano, Yuko & Tsusaka, Takuji W. & Aida, Takeshi & Pede, Valerien O., 2018. "Is farmer-to-farmer extension effective? The impact of training on technology adoption and rice farming productivity in Tanzania," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 336-351.
    5. Larson,Donald F. & Muraoka,Rie & Otsuka,Keijiro, 2016. "On the central role of small farms in African rural development strategies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7710, The World Bank.
    6. Kiprono, Philemon & Matsumoto, Tomoya, 2018. "Roads and farming: the effect of infrastructure improvement on agricultural intensification in South-Western Kenya," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 57(3-4), November.
    7. Kijima, Yoko & Ito, Yukinori & Otsuka, Keijiro, 2012. "Assessing the Impact of Training on Lowland Rice Productivity in an African Setting: Evidence from Uganda," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(8), pages 1610-1618.
    8. Evita Pangaribowo & Nicolas Gerber & Pascal Tillie, 2013. "Assessing the FNS impacts of technological and institutional innovations and future innovation trends," FOODSECURE Working papers 11, LEI Wageningen UR.
    9. Yoko KIJIMA & Dick SSERUNKUUMA & Keijiro OTSUKA, 2006. "How Revolutionary Is The “Nerica Revolution”? Evidence From Uganda," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 44(2), pages 252-267, June.
    10. Keijiro Otsuka, 2006. "Why Can't We Transform Traditional Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa? ," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 28(3), pages 332-337.
    11. Wouter Zant, 2014. "Do Organic Inputs in African Subsistence Agriculture Raise Productivity? Evidence from Plot Data of Malawi Household Surveys," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-114/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    12. Nakano, Yuko & Tsusaka, Takuji W. & Aida, Takeshi & Pede, Valerien O., 2015. "The Impact of Training on Technology Adoption and Productivity of Rice Farming in Tanzania: Is Farmer-to-Farmer Extension Effective?," Working Papers 90, JICA Research Institute.
    13. Jia, Xiangping, 2009. "Synergistic Green and White Revolution: Evidence from Kenya and Uganda," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51367, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Kijima, Yoko & Ito, Yukinori & Otsuka, Keijiro, 2010. "On the Possibility of a Lowland Rice Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa:," Working Papers 25, JICA Research Institute.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q10 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - General
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services

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