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Potential returns to the Australian sheep and wool industries from effective R&D and promotion investments and their sensitivities to assumed elasticity values

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  • Mounter, Stuart W.
  • Griffith, Garry R.
  • Piggott, Roley R.
  • Fleming, Euan M.
  • Zhao, Xueyan

Abstract

Mounter et al. (2007) developed an equilibrium displacement model (EDM) of the Australian sheepmeat and wool industries. In this paper the EDM is used to estimate the potential annual returns and their distribution among the various industry sectors for nine hypothetical investment scenarios. Initially, the EDM is solved for the base set of parameter values. A formal stochastic sensitivity analysis is then undertaken to account for the uncertain parameter values in the model. The results were found to be relatively robust to different parameter values, indicating that the model as specified provides a credible framework to estimate and compare the potential impacts from new technologies, generic promotions and other industry changes in a consistent way.

Suggested Citation

  • Mounter, Stuart W. & Griffith, Garry R. & Piggott, Roley R. & Fleming, Euan M. & Zhao, Xueyan, 2008. "Potential returns to the Australian sheep and wool industries from effective R&D and promotion investments and their sensitivities to assumed elasticity values," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 16.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:auagre:125732
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.125732
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhao, Xueyan & Griffiths, William E. & Griffith, Garry R. & Mullen, John D., 2000. "Probability distributions for economic surplus changes: the case of technical change in the Australian wool industry," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 44(01), pages 1-24.
    2. David J. Pannell, 1997. "Sensitivity analysis of normative economic models: theoretical framework and practical strategies," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(2), pages 139-152, May.
    3. Mullen, John D. & Alston, Julian M. & Wohlgenant, Michael K., 1989. "The Impact Of Farm And Processing Research On The Australian Wool Industry," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 33(01), pages 1-16, April.
    4. Garth J. Holloway, 1989. "Distribution of Research Gains in Multistage Production Systems: Further Results," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(2), pages 338-343.
    5. Mullen, John D. & Alston, Julian M., 1995. "The Impact on the Australian Lamb Industry of Producing Larger Leaner Lamb," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(01), pages 1-19, April.
    6. Mounter, Stuart W. & Griffith, Garry R. & Piggott, Roley R. & Fleming, Euan M. & Zhao, Xueyan, 2008. "An Equilibrium Displacement Model of the Australian Sheep and Wool Industries," Research Reports 37663, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pathiraja, Erandathie & Griffith, Garry & Farquharson, Robert & Faggia, Rob, 2019. "The Cost of Climate Change to Agricultural Industries: Coconuts in Sri Lanka," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 10(05), December.
    2. Griffith, Garry R. & Thompson, John M., 2012. "The aggregate economic benefits to the Australian beef industry from the adoption of meat standards Australia: updated to 2010/11," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 20, pages 1-28.
    3. Pathiraja, Erandathie & Griffith, Garry & Farquharson, Bob & Faggian, Rob, 2017. "The Economic Cost of Climate Change and the Benefits from Investments in Adaptation Options for Sri Lankan Coconut Value Chains," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 2017(1), June.
    4. Wang, Ping & Kinnucan, Henry W. & Duffy, Patricia A., "undated". "Effects of China's Rising Labor Costs on the World Cotton Market," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258431, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Pathiraja, Erandathie & Griffith, Garry & Farquharson, Bob & Faggian, Rob, 2017. "The Economic Cost of Climate Change and the Benefits from Investments in Adaptation Options for Sri Lankan Coconut Value Chains," 2018 International European Forum (163rd EAAE Seminar), February 5-9, 2018, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 276938, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    6. Griffith, Garry R. & Rodgers, Heidi & Thompson, John M. & Dart, Cameron, 2009. "The aggregate economic benefits to 2007/08 from the adoption of meat standards Australia," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 17, pages 1-22.

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