IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/abq/ijasd1/v1y2019i1p47-65.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation of net rice production for the fiscal year 2019 using historical datasets

Author

Listed:
  • Awais Karamat

    (Remote sensing and GIS group, Department of Space Science, University of the Punjab Lahore, Pakistan.)

  • Abdul Rehman

    (Remote sensing and GIS group, Department of Space Science, University of the Punjab Lahore, Pakistan.)

Abstract

Smallholder farmers are threatened by various vulnerable risks which include hostile weather conditions, rainfall at odd times, disease outbreaks and the market shocks. Crop insurance is the only solution to mitigate these risks. Crop yield records are of great importance to predict the crop yield/area into a region but the developing countries like Pakistan, have limited availability of crop yield records. Crop Reporting Service (CRS) in Punjab province of Pakistan has taken this initiative to save crop related data. We obtained the CRS based datasets of rice crop from (2008-2018) to predict the rice yield/area for the fiscal year 2019. The CRS based datasets were incorporated in collaboration with remotely sensed dataset to obtain more accurate results. The spectral responses of rice crop were taken as input to compute NDVI/RVI values of each year. We applied linear regression to NDVI/RVI and the CRS based yield to generate regression equations for prediction of rice yield for the year 2019 which was computed as 2.09 (ton/ha). The area under rice cultivation was estimated using supervised classification that was 139616 hectors. The net rice production was estimated as 219797 tons. Spectral responses of rice crop canopy proved efficient to determine the net productions.

Suggested Citation

  • Awais Karamat & Abdul Rehman, 2019. "Estimation of net rice production for the fiscal year 2019 using historical datasets," International Journal of Agriculture & Sustainable Development, 50sea, vol. 1(2), pages 47-65, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:abq:ijasd1:v:1:y:2019:i:1:p:47-65
    DOI: 10.33411/IJASD/2019010201
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://journal.50sea.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Estimation-of-net-rice-production-for-the-fiscal-year-2019.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://journal.50sea.com/ijasd/archives/volume-1/issue-2-2/estimation-of-net-rice-production-for-the-fiscal-year-2019-using-historical-datasets/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.33411/IJASD/2019010201?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Syed Muhammad Hassan Raza & Syed Amer Mahmood, 2018. "Estimation of Net Rice Production through Improved CASA Model by Addition of Soil Suitability Constant (ħα)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-21, May.
    2. Mario J. Miranda & Katie Farrin, 2012. "Index Insurance for Developing Countries," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 34(3), pages 391-427.
    3. Muhammad Saifullah & Bilal Islam, 2019. "Estimation of Water Stress on Rice Crop Using Ecological Parameters," International Journal of Agriculture & Sustainable Development, 50sea, vol. 1(1), pages 17-29, January.
    4. Jinxia Wang & Robert Mendelsohn & Ariel Dinar & Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle & Lijuan Zhang, 2009. "The impact of climate change on China's agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(3), pages 323-337, May.
    5. Jingfeng Huang & Xiuzhen Wang & Xinxing Li & Hanqin Tian & Zhuokun Pan, 2013. "Remotely Sensed Rice Yield Prediction Using Multi-Temporal NDVI Data Derived from NOAA's-AVHRR," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(8), pages 1-13, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ayesha Behzad & Usman Rafique, 2019. "Estimation of Net Primary Production of Rice Crop using CASA model in Nankana Sahib," International Journal of Agriculture & Sustainable Development, 50sea, vol. 1(1), pages 30-46, February.
    2. Zhiwei Shen & Martin Odening & Ostap Okhrin, 2016. "Can expert knowledge compensate for data scarcity in crop insurance pricing?," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 43(2), pages 237-269.
    3. Hai‐Anh H. Dang & Stephane Hallegatte & Trong‐Anh Trinh, 2024. "Does global warming worsen poverty and inequality? An updated review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 1873-1905, December.
    4. Elena Serfilippi & Michael Carter & Catherine Guirkinger, 2018. "Insurance Contracts when Individuals “Greatly Value” Certainty: Results from a Field Experiment in Burkina Faso," NBER Working Papers 25026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Uwe Schneider & Bruce McCarl, 2003. "Economic Potential of Biomass Based Fuels for Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 24(4), pages 291-312, April.
    6. Kelvin Mashisia Shikuku & Ibrahim Ochenje, 2025. "Impact of index insurance on downside income risk: Evidence from northern Kenya," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(2), pages 863-891, May.
    7. Pradeep Kurukulasuriya & Robert Mendelsohn, 2017. "Impact And Adaptation Of South-East Asian Farmers To Climate Change: Introduction," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(03), pages 1-6, August.
    8. Lichtenberg, Erik & Iglesias, Eva, 2022. "Index insurance and basis risk: A reconsideration," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    9. Zeenatul Islam & Mohammad Alauddin & Md. Abdur Rashid Sarker, 2017. "Farmers’ perception on climate change-driven rice production loss in drought-prone and groundwater-depleted areas of Bangladesh: An ordered probit analysis," Discussion Papers Series 579, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    10. Mengmeng Qiang & Manhong Shen & Guanjun Xia, 2023. "The effectiveness of weather index insurance in managing mariculture production risk," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 67(2), pages 245-262, April.
    11. Petraud, Jean & Boucher, Stephen & Carter, Michael, 2015. "Competing theories of risk preferences and the demand for crop insurance: Experimental evidence from Peru," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211383, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. Zhang, Yuquan W. & Mu, Jianhong E. & Musumba, Mark, 2016. "The Role of Climate Factors in Shaping China’s Crop Mix: An Empirical Exploration," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235387, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Kemeze, Francis H. & Miranda, Mario J. & Kuwornu, John & Amin-Somuah, Henry, 2016. "Optimal Management of Runoff Reservoir Supply: The Case of Tono Reservoir in Northern Ghana," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236030, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Emerick, Kyle, 2018. "Trading frictions in Indian village economies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 32-56.
    15. Conner Mullally & Steve Boucher & Michael Carter, 2013. "Encouraging Development: Randomized Encouragement Designs in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(5), pages 1352-1358.
    16. Ng’ang’a, Stanley Karanja & Bulte, Erwin H. & Giller, Ken E. & Ndiwa, Nicholas N. & Kifugo, Shem C. & McIntire, John M. & Herrero, Mario & Rufino, Mariana C., 2016. "Livestock wealth and social capital as insurance against climate risk: A case study of Samburu County in Kenya," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 44-54.
    17. Manganyi, Bernard & Jourdain, Damien & Karuaihe, Selma, 2024. "Preferences for index-based pasture insurance: a choice experiment in Limpopo Province, South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 63(3), April.
    18. M. MEHEDI HASAN & Md. ABDUR RASHID SARKER & JEFF GOW, 2016. "Assessment Of Climate Change Impacts On Aman And Boro Rice Yields In Bangladesh," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(03), pages 1-21, August.
    19. Turvey, C. G., 2017. "IFAD RESEARCH SERIES 10 - Inclusive finance and inclusive rural transformation," IFAD Research Series 280048, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    20. Lima Miquelluti, Daniel & Ozaki, Vitor & Miquelluti, David J., 2020. "An application of geographically weighted quantile LASSO to weather index insurance design," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304288, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:abq:ijasd1:v:1:y:2019:i:1:p:47-65. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Iqra Nazeer (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.