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Agglomeration under Forward-Looking Expectations: Potentials and Global Stability

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Author Info
Oyama, Daisuke

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Abstract

This paper considers a class of migration dynamics with forward-looking agents in a multi-country solvable variant of the core-periphery model of Krugman (Journal of Political Economy 99 (1991)). We find that, under a symmetric externality assumption, our static model admits a potential function, which allows us to identify a stationary state that is uniquely absorbing and globally accessible under the perfect foresight dynamics whenever the degree of friction in relocation decisions is sufficiently small. In particular, when trade barriers are low enough, full agglomeration in the country with the highest barrier is the unique stable state for small frictions. New aspects in trade and tax policy that arise due to forward-looking behavior are discussed.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15239/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 15239.

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Date of creation: 28 Mar 2006
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:15239

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Related research
Keywords: economic geography; agglomeration; perfect foresight dynamics; history versus expectations; stability; potential game; equilibrium selection;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
R12 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies
C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming

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This page was last updated on 2010-1-3.


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