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The adjustment of global external balances: does partial exchange rate pass-through to trade prices matter?

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Author Info
Christopher Gust
Sylvain Leduc
Nathan Sheets

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Abstract

This paper assesses whether partial exchange rate pass-through to trade prices has important implications for the prospective adjustment of global external imbalances. To address this question, we develop and estimate an open-economy DGE model in which pass-through is incomplete due to the presence of local currency pricing, distribution services, and a variable demand elasticity that leads to fluctuations in optimal markups. We find that the overall magnitude of trade adjustment is similar in a low and high pass-through world with more adjustment in a low pass-world occurring through a larger response of the exchange rate and terms of trade rather than real trade flows.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its series Working Paper Series with number 2008-16.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2008-16

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Keywords: Foreign exchange rates ; Imports - Prices;

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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jose Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2006. "Pass-through of exchange rates to consumption prices: what has changed and why," Staff Reports 261, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Linda Goldberg & Cedric Tille, 2006. "The internationalization of the dollar and trade balance adjustment," Staff Reports 255, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  3. Erceg, Christopher & Guerriei, Luca & Gust, Christopher, 2006. "SIGMA: A New Open Economy Model for Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 813, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Linda S. Goldberg & Cédric Tille, 2006. "The International Role of the Dollar and Trade Balance Adjustment," NBER Working Papers 12495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Willem Thorbecke, 2006. "How Would an Appreciation of the Renminbi Affect the U.S. Trade Deficit with China?," Topics in Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 6(3), pages 1454-1454. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Christopher Gust & Sylvain Leduc & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2006. "Trade integration, competition, and the decline in exchange-rate pass-through," International Finance Discussion Papers 864, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Steven B. Kamin & Trevor A. Reeve & Nathan Sheets, 2007. "U.S. external adjustment: is it disorderly? Is it unique? Will it disrupt the rest of the world?," International Finance Discussion Papers 892, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Guy Meredith, 2007. "Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances: Some Conventional Views Reconsidered," IMF Working Papers 07/4, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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