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Domestic and Foreign Disturbances in an Optimizing Model of Exchange- Rate Determination

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Stephen J. Turnovsky

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the effects of various disturbances of domestic and foreign origin in a small open economy under imperfect capital mobility in which the behavioral relationships are derived from optimization by the private sector. In this model the domestic economy jumps instantaneously to its new equilibrium following a change in either the domestic monetary growth rate or domestic fiscal policy. In response to a disturbance in either the foreign interest rate or inflation rate,the economy undergoes an initial partial jump towards its new equilibrium,which it there after approaches gradually. The implications of these results for exchange rate adjustment and the insulation properties of flexible exchange rates are discussed.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1407.

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Date of creation: Oct 1985
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Publication status: published as Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 151-171,(1985).
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1407

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  1. Fabio Ghironi & Talan B. Iscan & Alessandro Rebucci, 2005. "Net Foreign Asset Positions and Consumption Dynamics in the International Economy," IMF Working Papers 05/82, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Christopher Erceg & Luca Guerrieri & Christopher Gust, 2006. "Trade adjustment and the composition of trade," International Finance Discussion Papers 859, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  3. Erceg, Christopher & Guerriei, Luca & Gust, Christopher, 2006. "SIGMA: A New Open Economy Model for Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 813, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Christopher J. Erceg & Christopher Gust & David López-Salido, 2007. "The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in the Open Economy," NBER Working Papers 13613, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Riccardo Cristadoro & Andrea Gerali & Stefano Neri & Massimiliano Pisani, 2008. "Real exchange rate volatility and disconnect: an empirical investigation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Chen-Min Hsu, 1993. "Government Expenditure, Foreign Reserves And The Exchange Rate Dynamics," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 65-79, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Fisher, Walter H. & Hof, Franz X., 2001. "Status Seeking in the Small Open Economy," Economics Series 106, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Stephen J. Turnovsky, 1987. "Optimal Monetary Growth with Accomodating Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," NBER Working Papers 2084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Martin Bodenstein & Christopher J. Erceg & Luca Guerrieri, 2007. "Oil shocks and external adjustment," International Finance Discussion Papers 897, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  10. Jyh-Lin Wu, 1994. "Fiscal announcements and real exchange rate dynamics," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 177-190, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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