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Exchange Rate Volatility and Output Volatility: a Theoretical Approach

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Author Info
Maria Grydaki () (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia)
Stilianos Fountas () (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia)

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Abstract

This paper makes an attempt to determine the factors influencing exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainty, as well as, output and output variability. In the context of a small open economy under flexible exchange rates regime it is found that the level both of exchange rate and output is affected by monetary and inflationary shocks, as well as shocks in government spending, output and trade balance. Further, the uncertainty of exchange rate and output is associated positively with the uncertainty of all shocks while the contemporaneous occurrence of selected shocks imposes either a positive or negative impact on exchange rate and output volatility. Finally, it is shown that the effect of the determinants either of exchange rate volatility or output volatility is very sensitive to the parameter values.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Macedonia in its series Discussion Paper Series with number 2008_16.

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Date of creation: Dec 2008
Date of revision: Dec 2008
Handle: RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2008_16

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Related research
Keywords: Vexchange rate volatility; output volatility; open-economy models.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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  6. Manuelli, Rodolfo E & Peck, James, 1990. "Exchange Rate Volatility in an Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 31(3), pages 559-74, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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