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Time Series Analysis of Export Demand Equations: A Cross-Country Analysis

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  • Abdelhak S. Senhadji

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Claudio E. Montenegro

    (International Monetary Fund)

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    Abstract

    The paper estimates export demand elasticities for a large number of developing and industrial countries, using time-series techniques that account for the nonstationarity in the data. The average long-run price and income elasticities are found to be approximately -1 and 1.5, respectively. Thus, exports do react to both the trade partners' income and to relative prices. Africa faces the lowest income elasticities for its exports, while Asia has both the highest income and price elasticities. The price and income elasticity estimates have good statistical properties. Copyright 1999, International Monetary Fund

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan in its journal IMF Staff Papers.

    Volume (Year): 46 (1999)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 2

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    Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:46:y:1999:i:3:p:2

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    1. Reinhart, Carmen, 1995. "Devaluation, Relative Prices, and International Trade: Evidence from Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 6974, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Hansen, Bruce E., 1992. "Efficient estimation and testing of cointegrating vectors in the presence of deterministic trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 87-121.
    3. Riedel, James, 1984. "Trade as the Engine of Growth in Developing Countries, Revisited," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, Royal Economic Society, vol. 94(373), pages 56-73, March.
    4. Marquez, Jaime & McNeilly, Caryl, 1988. "Income and Price Elasticities for Exports of Developing Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(2), pages 306-14, May.
    5. Lewis, W Arthur, 1980. "The Slowing Down of the Engine of Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 70(4), pages 555-64, September.
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