This paper tests for the existence of contagion during the 1997/98 Asian crisis. We interpret contagion as a significant change in the way that country-specific shocks are transmitted across international stock markets. Using the full-information framework of Favero and Giavazzi (2002) we find that the null hypothesis of no contagion is widely rejected. We also uncover evidence of an asymmetric transmission of shocks. Since our results contrast with those obtained by Rigobon (2001, 2002) using a limited-information methodology we present Monte Carlo simulations which show that certain necessary conditions must be satisfied for this method to have power. For parameter values in line with our econometric estimations we conclude that the power of the limited-information approach remains relatively low.
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Paper provided by International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering in its series FAME Research Paper Series with number
rp92.
Find related papers by JEL classification: C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables F3 - International Economics - - International Finance F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
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