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Has Monetary Policy Reacted To Asset Price Movements: Evidence From The Uk

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  • A. Kontonikas

    ()

  • A. Montagnoli

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between monetary policy and asset prices in the context of empirical policy rules. We begin our analysis by establishing the forecasting ability of house and stock price changes with respect to future aggregate demand. We then report estimates of monetary policy reaction functions for the United Kingdom over the period 1992-2003. We find that UK policymakers appear to take into account the effect of asset price inflation when setting interest rates with a higher weight being assigned to property market fluctuations. Asset inflationaugmented rules describe more accurately actual policy, and the results are robust to modelling the effect of the Bank of England independence.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University in its series Economics and Finance Discussion Papers with number 02-11.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2002
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bru:bruedp:02-11

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Postal: Brunel University, Uxbridge, Middlesex UB8 3PH, UK

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Cited by:
  1. Semmler, Willi & Zhang, Wenlang, 2007. "Asset price volatility and monetary policy rules: A dynamic model and empirical evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 411-430, May.
  2. Alberto Montagnoli & Oreste Napolitano, 2006. "Financial Condition Index and interest rate settings: a comparative analysis," Discussion Papers 2_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
  3. Alexandros Kontonikas & Alberto Montagnoli, 2005. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Asset Price Misalignments," Working Papers 2005_9, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  4. Alexandros Kontonikas & Christos Ioannidis, 2003. "Should Monetary Policy Respond to Asset Price Misalignments?," Public Policy Discussion Papers 03-19, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
  5. Lichao Cheng & Yi Jin & Zhixiong Zeng, 2011. "Asset Prices, Monetary Policy, and Aggregate Fluctuations: An Empirical Investigation," Monash Economics Working Papers 13-11, Monash University, Department of Economics.
  6. Dirk Bleich & Ralf Fendel & Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2013. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Volatility," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(3), pages 1669-1680.

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