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The Galor-Weil Model Revisited: A Quantitative Exercise Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Nils-Petter Lagerlöf (York University)
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Abstract: The long-run growth model of Galor and Weil (AER 2000) is examined quantitatively. We first give parametric forms to some functions which were only given on general form in the original article. We then choose numerical parameter values in line with calibrations of related long-run growth models, and with data. Finally, we simulate the model. We find, inter alia, that the time paths for population, and other variables, display oscillatory behavior: they move in endogenous cycles. As the economy transits from Malthusian stagnation to modern growth these oscillations die out. This is consistent with population growth rates fluctuating considerably in historical data, but having stabilized in modern economies. We also show that these cycles are not an artifact of the two-period life setting: allowing adults to live on after the second period of life with some probability does not make the oscillations go away. Rather, the cycles are driven by fertility being proportional to per-capita income minus the parental subsistence requirement. When population is large, and per-capita incomes close to subsistence, fertility is therefore sensitive to changes in population levels. (Copyright: Elsevier)
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Article provided by Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics in its journal Review of Economic Dynamics .
Volume (Year): 9 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 116-142
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Handle: RePEc:red:issued:v:9:y:2006:i:1:p:116-142Contact details of provider: Postal: Review of Economic Dynamics Academic Press Editorial Office 525 "B" Street, Suite 1900 San Diego, CA 92101 Fax: 1-860-486-4463 Email: Web page: http://www.EconomicDynamics.org/review.htm More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Mathusian ; Long-Run Growth ; Galor-Weil Model ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O33 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
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