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Agricultural productivity growth and escape from the Malthusian trap

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Author Info
Tomas Kögel (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)
Alexia Prskawetz (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

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Abstract

Industrialization allowed the industrialized world of today to escape from a regime characterized by low economic and population growth and to enter a regime of hihg economic and population growth. To explain this transion of regime, we construct a two-sector growth model with endogenous fertility and endogenous technological progress in the manufacturing sector. With this structure our model is able to replicate the stylized facts of the British industrial revolution. In addition, we show that industrialization requires rising growth of agricultural total factor productivity. This result is in marked contrast to previous work within a similar framework - but with a constant population - wich came to the conclusion that industrialization requires merely a rising level of agricultural total factor productivity. We conclude by illustrating that our proposed model framework can be extended to also include the demographic transition, i.e., a regime where economic growth may lead to decreasing fertility. (AUTHORS)

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany in its series MPIDR Working Papers with number WP-2000-002.

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Date of creation: Feb 2000
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Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2000-002

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Web page: http://www.demogr.mpg.de/

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Related research
Keywords: demographic transition; economic growth; malthusian theory; population growth;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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