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A Dynamical Model of Business-Cycle Asymmetries:Extending Goodwin

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  • D Harvie
  • M A Kelmanson
  • D G Knapp
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    Abstract

    A rarely noted, economically unrealistic feature of Goodwins (1967; 1972) celebrated growth-cycle model is that its state variables, the wage share of output and the employment proportion, can exceed unity. We propose a novel extension of the two-variable dynamical system which ensures that its solutions remain within the economically feasible region, i.e. the unit square of the wage share employment proportion phase plane. In a further extension, we obtain a model which, besides possessing a richer economic interpretation than the original, is able to generate asymmetric solution cycles. We use numerical techniques to investigate the new models properties; in particular, we examine business-cycle deepness and steepness.

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    Article provided by Economic Issues in its journal Economic Issues.

    Volume (Year): 12 (2007)
    Issue (Month): 1 (March)
    Pages: 53-92

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    Handle: RePEc:eis:articl:107harvie

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    1. Desai, Meghnad, 1973. "Growth cycles and inflation in a model of the class struggle," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 6(6), pages 527-545, December.
    2. Sichel, Daniel E, 1989. "Are Business Cycles Asymmetric? A Correction," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(5), pages 1255-60, October.
    3. Falk, Barry L., 1986. "Further Evidence on the Asymmetric Behavior of Economic Time Series over the Business Cycle," Staff General Research Papers 11097, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    4. McQueen, Grant & Thorley, Steven, 1993. "Asymmetric business cycle turning points," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 341-362, June.
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