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Communication and exchange rate policy

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Author Info
Fratzscher, Marcel

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Abstract

Monetary authorities in the G3 economies have shifted in recent years towards communication as their primary policy tool to influence exchange rates. The paper assesses the effectiveness of communication, or oral interventions, by the G3 monetary authorities. It provides two key findings. First, G3 communication policies have constituted an effective policy tool in influencing exchange rates in the desired direction. And second, communication has been effective independently from the stance and direction of monetary policy and the occurrence of actual interventions. By contrast, the effectiveness of communication is strongly related to the degree of uncertainty and the positioning of participants in FX markets. Taken together, the results provide support for micro-based approaches to exchange rate modeling and are consistent with the argument that interventions affect exchange rates primarily through a coordination channel rather than a signaling channel.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6X4M-4T2DKRX-1/2/dd2de291fa84ec52f0a52c74ac297524
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Macroeconomics.

Volume (Year): 30 (2008)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 1651-1672
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Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:30:y:2008:i:4:p:1651-1672

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622617

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Related research
Keywords: Communication Exchange rate Intervention Policy United States Euro area Japan;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Jeffrey D. Amado & Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2003. "Communication and Monetary Policy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1405, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2002. "Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange," Working Papers 02-16, Duke University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Dominguez, Kathryn M. E., 2003. "The market microstructure of central bank intervention," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 25-45, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Alan S. Blinder, 1999. "Central Banking in Theory and Practice," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262522608, December.
  5. Dominguez, Kathryn M & Frankel, Jeffrey A, 1993. "Does Foreign-Exchange Intervention Matter? The Portfolio Effect," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1356-69, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Beine, Michel & Benassy-Quere, Agnes & Lecourt, Christelle, 2002. "Central bank intervention and foreign exchange rates: new evidence from FIGARCH estimations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 115-144, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Bonser-Neal, Catherine & Tanner, Glenn, 1996. "Central bank intervention and the volatility of foreign exchange rates: evidence from the options market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 853-878, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. repec:rus:hseeco:21608 is not listed on IDEAS
  9. Baillie, Richard T. & P. Osterberg, William, 1997. "Central bank intervention and risk in the forward market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3-4), pages 483-497, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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