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Risk Aversion and the Martingale Property of Stock Prices

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Cited by:

  1. Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan & White, Halbert, 2001. "Dangers of data mining: The case of calendar effects in stock returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 249-286, November.
  2. Araujo, Aloisio & Chateauneuf, Alain & Faro, José Heleno, 2018. "Financial market structures revealed by pricing rules: Efficient complete markets are prevalent," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 257-288.
  3. Aggarwal, Raj & Mougoue, Mbodja, 1998. "Common Stochastic Trends among Asian Currencies: Evidence for Japan, ASEANs, and the Asian Tigers," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 193-206, March.
  4. Thomas Delcey, 2019. "Samuelson vs Fama on the Efficient Market Hypothesis: The Point of View of Expertise [Samuelson vs Fama sur l’efficience informationnelle des marchés financiers : le point de vue de l’expertise]," Post-Print hal-01618347, HAL.
  5. Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-18, September.
  6. Wolfgang Drobetz & Patrick Wegmann, 2002. "Mean Reversion on Global Stock Markets," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 138(III), pages 215-239, September.
  7. Kofi A. Amoateng, 2019. "Did Tom Brady Save the US stock market? Market Anomaly or Market Efficiency?," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(5), pages 128-128, May.
  8. Cochrane, John H., 2005. "Financial Markets and the Real Economy," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(1), pages 1-101, July.
  9. Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Market Timing with Moving Averages," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-25, June.
  10. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2000_022 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Müge Özdemir, 2022. "Analyzing the Efficient Market Hypothesis with the Structural Break and Nonlinear Unit Root Tests: An Application on Borsa Istanbul," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(37), pages 257-282, December.
  12. Ilomaki Jukka & Laurila Hannu, 2017. "Endogenous Real Risk-Free Rate, the Central Bank, and Stock Market," Working Papers 1713, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
  13. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2019. "Time-Varying Price–Volume Relationship and Adaptive Market Efficiency: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
  14. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2017. "Investor demand, market efficiency and spot-futures relation: Further evidence from crude palm oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 135-146.
  15. Chang, C-L. & Hsu, S.-H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018. "Asymmetric Risk Impacts of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-18, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  16. Sullivan, Ryan & Timmermann, Allan & White, Halbert, 1998. "The dangers of data-driven inference: the case of calender effects in stock returns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119142, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  17. Boni Mihaela Straoanu, 2014. "Financial-Accounting Information: A Genuine Factor Of Power In The Capital Market Investment Gain-Loss Ratio," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0, pages 521-525, May.
  18. Jonathan Lewellen & Jay Shanken, 2000. "Estimation Risk, Market Efficiency, and the Predictability of Returns," NBER Working Papers 7699, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  19. Oumou Kalsoum Diallo & Pierre Mendy, 2019. "Wavelet Leader and Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis of Market Efficiency: Evidence from WAEMU Market Index," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 1-23, June.
  20. Albert S. Kyle & Anna Obizhaeva & Yajun Wang, 2016. "Beliefs Aggregation and Return Predictability," Working Papers w0231, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
  21. Ilomäki, J. & Laurila, H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018. "Simple Market Timing with Moving Averages," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  22. Jukka Ilomäki, 2016. "Risk-Free Rates And Animal Spirits In Financial Markets," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(03), pages 1-18, September.
  23. Beker, Pablo F. & Espino, Emilio, 2015. "Short-Term Momentum and LongTerm Reversal of Returns under Limited Enforceability and Belief Heterogeneity," Economic Research Papers 269729, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
  24. Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
  25. Ichkitidze, Yuri, 2018. "Temporary price trends in the stock market with rational agents," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 103-117.
  26. Gabriel Frahm, 2016. "Pricing And Valuation Under The Real-World Measure," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(01), pages 1-39, February.
  27. Brisset, Nicolas, 2017. "On Performativity: Option Theory And The Resistance Of Financial Phenomena," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(4), pages 549-569, December.
  28. Robert J. Shiller, 2014. "Speculative Asset Prices (Nobel Prize Lecture)," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1936, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  29. Tim Bollerslev & Robert J. Hodrick, 1992. "Financial Market Efficiency Tests," NBER Working Papers 4108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  30. Monira Essa Aloud, 2016. "Time Series Analysis Indicators under Directional Changes: The Case of Saudi Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 55-64.
  31. Monira Essa Aloud, 2016. "Profitability of Directional Change Based Trading Strategies: The Case of Saudi Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 87-95.
  32. Martin Laurence & Francis Cai & Sun Qian, 1997. "Weak-form Efficiency and Causality Tests in Chinese Stock Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 1(4), pages 291-307, December.
  33. Christopher A. Sims, 1980. "Martingale-Like Behavior of Prices," NBER Working Papers 0489, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  34. Seppala, Juha, 2004. "The term structure of real interest rates: theory and evidence from UK index-linked bonds," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 1509-1549, October.
  35. Sargent, Thomas J., 1996. "Expectations and the nonneutrality of Lucas," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 535-548, June.
  36. Hamidi Sahneh, Mehdi, 2017. "News, Noise, and Tests of Present Value Models," MPRA Paper 82715, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  37. Gabriel Frahm, 2013. "Pricing and Valuation under the Real-World Measure," Papers 1304.3824, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2016.
  38. Ausloos, Marcel & Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2016. "On the “usual” misunderstandings between econophysics and finance: Some clarifications on modelling approaches and efficient market hypothesis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 7-14.
  39. Seppälä, Juha, 2000. "The term structure of real interest rates: Theory and evidence form UK index-linked bonds," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 22/2000, Bank of Finland.
  40. Robert G. Kuklik & Vladislav Vacek, 2013. "Volatility Asset Pricing Model as an Alternative Approach?," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(1), pages 39-66.
  41. Seppälä, Juha, 2000. "The term structure of real interest rates : Theory and evidence form UK index-linked bonds," Research Discussion Papers 22/2000, Bank of Finland.
  42. Romain Bocher, 2023. "Causal Entropic Forces, Narratives and Self-organisation of Capital Markets," Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics, , vol. 35(2), pages 172-190, July.
  43. Suzuki, Masataka, 2011. "A Model of Equity Prices with Heterogeneous Beliefs," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 52(1), pages 41-54, June.
  44. Gabriel Frahm, 2013. "A Modern Approach to the Efficient-Market Hypothesis," Papers 1302.3001, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2014.
  45. Auer, Benjamin R., 2016. "On time-varying predictability of emerging stock market returns," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-13.
  46. Thi Hong Van Hoang, 2009. "Efficience informationnelle des marchés de l’or à Paris et à Londres, 1948-2008. Une vérification économétrique de la forme faible," Working Papers 09-09, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
  47. Cecchetti, Stephen G & Lam, Pok-sang & Mark, Nelson C, 1990. "Mean Reversion in Equilibrium Asset Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 398-418, June.
  48. Robert J. Shiller, 2014. "Speculative Asset Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(6), pages 1486-1517, June.
  49. Jovanovic, Franck & Andreadakis, Stelios & Schinckus, Christophe, 2016. "Efficient market hypothesis and fraud on the market theory a new perspective for class actions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 177-190.
  50. Kin-Boon Tang & Shao-Jye Wong & Shih-Kuei Lin & Szu-Lang Liao, 2020. "Excess volatility and market efficiency in government bond markets: the ASEAN-5 context," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 154-165, March.
  51. Anufriev Mikhail & Bottazzi Giulio, 2012. "Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-38, October.
  52. Velimir Šonje & Denis Alajbeg & Zoran Bubas, 2011. "Efficient market hypothesis: is the Croatian stock market as (in)efficient as the U.S. market," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 35(3), pages 301-326.
  53. Mordecai Kurz & Hehui Jin & Maurizio Motolese, 2005. "Determinants of stock market volatility and risk premia," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 109-147, July.
  54. Gabriel Frahm, 2015. "A theoretical foundation of portfolio resampling," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 79(1), pages 107-132, July.
  55. Shafique, Attayah & Ayub, Usman & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2019. "Don’t let the Greed catch you! Pleonexia rule applied to Pakistan stock exchange," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 157-168.
  56. Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Moving Average Market Timing in European Energy Markets: Production Versus Emissions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-24, November.
  57. Albert S. Kyle & Anna Obizhaeva & Yajun Wang, 2016. "Beliefs Aggregation and Return Predictability," Working Papers w0231, New Economic School (NES).
  58. Algaba, Andres & Boudt, Kris, 2017. "Generalized financial ratios to predict the equity premium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 244-257.
  59. Ian Martin, 2021. "On the Autocorrelation of the Stock Market [X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 19(1), pages 39-52.
  60. Bago, Jean-Louis & Souratié, Wamadini M. & Ouédraogo, Moussa & Ouédraogo, Ernest & Dembélé, Alou, 2019. "Financial Bubbles : New Evidence from South Africa’s Stock Market," MPRA Paper 95685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  61. Mikhail Anufriev & Giulio Bottazzi, 2004. "Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons," LEM Papers Series 2004/22, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  62. Semen Son Turan, 2014. "Internet Search Volume and Stock Return Volatility: The Case of Turkish Companies," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 6(6), pages 317-328.
  63. Ardalan, Kavous, 2018. "Neurofinance versus the efficient markets hypothesis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 170-176.
  64. Jörg Rieger & Kirsten Rüchardt & Bodo Vogt, 2011. "Comparing High Frequency Data of Stocks that are Traded Simultaneously in the US and Germany: Simulated Versus Empirical Data," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 1(2), pages 126-142, December.
  65. Attila Odabasl & Celal Asku & Vedat Akgiray, 2004. "The statistical evolution of prices on the Istanbul stock exchange," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 510-525.
  66. Romain Bocher, 2022. "The Intersubjective Markets Hypothesis," Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics, , vol. 34(1), pages 35-50, January.
  67. Azad, A.S.M. Sohel, 2009. "Random walk and efficiency tests in the Asia-Pacific foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the post-Asian currency crisis data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 322-338, September.
  68. George O. Aragon & Rajnish Mehra & Sunil Wahal, 2018. "Do Properly Anticipated Prices Fluctuate Randomly? Evidence from VIX Futures Markets," NBER Working Papers 24575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  69. Gehrig, Thomas & Haas, Marlene, 2016. "Anomalous Trading Prior to Lehman Brothers' Failure," CEPR Discussion Papers 11194, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  70. Schwaiger, Walter S. A., 1995. "A note on GARCH predictable variances and stock market efficiency," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 949-953, August.
  71. Thi Hong Van HOANG, 2011. "Efficience informationnelle des marchés de l'or à Paris et à Londres, 1948-2008 : Une vérification économétrique de la forme faible," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 2(1), April.
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