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The impact of forecasting methods on the bullwhip effect

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Sadeghi, Ahmad, 2015. "Providing a measure for bullwhip effect in a two-product supply chain with exponential smoothing forecasts," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 44-54.
  2. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio, 2019. "An empirical investigation on the antecedents of the bullwhip effect: Evidence from the spare parts industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 121-133.
  3. Enrique Holgado de Frutos & Juan R Trapero & Francisco Ramos, 2020. "A literature review on operational decisions applied to collaborative supply chains," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, March.
  4. Luong, Huynh Trung & Phien, Nguyen Huu, 2007. "Measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains: The case of high order autoregressive demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 183(1), pages 197-209, November.
  5. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Babai, M. Zied & Ali, Mohammad & Boylan, John E., 2019. "The impact of temporal aggregation on supply chains with ARMA(1,1) demand processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(3), pages 920-932.
  6. Ali, Mohammad M. & Boylan, John E. & Syntetos, Aris A., 2012. "Forecast errors and inventory performance under forecast information sharing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 830-841.
  7. Nagaraja, Chaitra H. & McElroy, Tucker, 2018. "The multivariate bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 96-106.
  8. Grigoriev, A. & Hiller, B. & Marban, S. & Vredeveld, T. & van der Zwaan, G.R.J., 2010. "Dynamic pricing problems with elastic demand," Research Memorandum 053, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
  9. Adenso-Díaz, Belarmino & Moreno, Plácido & Gutiérrez, Ester & Lozano, Sebastián, 2012. "An analysis of the main factors affecting bullwhip in reverse supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 917-928.
  10. Rupesh Kumar Pati, 2014. "Modelling Bullwhip Effect in a Closed Loop Supply Chain with ARMA Demand," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 3(2), pages 149-164, July.
  11. Kunnumkal, Sumit & Topaloglu, Huseyin, 2008. "Price discounts in exchange for reduced customer demand variability and applications to advance demand information acquisition," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 543-561, February.
  12. Zhu, Tianyuan & Balakrishnan, Jaydeep & da Silveira, Giovani J.C., 2020. "Bullwhip effect in the oil and gas supply chain: A multiple-case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
  13. Zhang, Xiaolong, 2007. "Inventory control under temporal demand heteroscedasticity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 127-144, October.
  14. Hosoda, Takamichi & Disney, Stephen M., 2009. "Impact of market demand mis-specification on a two-level supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 739-751, October.
  15. Aggelogiannaki, Eleni & Sarimveis, Haralambos, 2008. "Design of a novel adaptive inventory control system based on the online identification of lead time," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 781-792, August.
  16. Thomassey, Sébastien, 2010. "Sales forecasts in clothing industry: The key success factor of the supply chain management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 470-483, December.
  17. de Lima, Daruichi Pereira & Fioriolli, José Carlos & Padula, Antonio Domingos & Pumi, Guilherme, 2018. "The impact of Chinese imports of soybean on port infrastructure in Brazil: A study based on the concept of the “Bullwhip Effect”," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 55-76.
  18. Erkan Bayraktar & Kazim Sari & Ekrem Tatoglu & Selim Zaim & Dursun Delen, 2020. "Assessing the supply chain performance: a causal analysis," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 287(1), pages 37-60, April.
  19. Michna, Zbigniew & Disney, Stephen M. & Nielsen, Peter, 2020. "The impact of stochastic lead times on the bullwhip effect under correlated demand and moving average forecasts," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  20. Nagaraja, C.H. & Thavaneswaran, A. & Appadoo, S.S., 2015. "Measuring the bullwhip effect for supply chains with seasonal demand components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(2), pages 445-454.
  21. Boute, Robert N. & Disney, Stephen M. & Lambrecht, Marc R. & Houdt, Benny Van, 2014. "Coordinating lead times and safety stocks under autocorrelated demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-63.
  22. Reza Hadizadeh & Amir Abbas Shojaie, 2017. "A Measure of SCM Bullwhip Effect Under Mixed Autoregressive-Moving Average with Errors Heteroscedasticity (ARMA(1,1)–GARCH(1,1)) Model," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 83-104, March.
  23. Miragliotta, Giovanni, 2006. "Layers and mechanisms: A new taxonomy for the Bullwhip Effect," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 365-381, December.
  24. Kristianto, Yohanes & Helo, Petri & Jiao, Jianxin (Roger) & Sandhu, Maqsood, 2012. "Adaptive fuzzy vendor managed inventory control for mitigating the Bullwhip effect in supply chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 216(2), pages 346-355.
  25. Li, Qinyun & Gaalman, Gerard & Disney, Stephen M., 2025. "Dynamic analysis of the proportional order-up-to policy with damped trend forecasts," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  26. Agrawal, Sunil & Sengupta, Raghu Nandan & Shanker, Kripa, 2009. "Impact of information sharing and lead time on bullwhip effect and on-hand inventory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 576-593, January.
  27. Ciancimino, Elena & Cannella, Salvatore & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Framinan, Jose M., 2012. "On the Bullwhip Avoidance Phase: The Synchronised Supply Chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 49-63.
  28. Önkal, Dilek & Zeynep Sayım, K. & Lawrence, Michael, 2012. "Wisdom of group forecasts: Does role-playing play a role?," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 693-702.
  29. Kamath, Narasimha B. & Roy, Rahul, 2007. "Capacity augmentation of a supply chain for a short lifecycle product: A system dynamics framework," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(2), pages 334-351, June.
  30. Junhai Ma & Liqing Zhu & Ye Yuan & Shunqi Hou, 2018. "Study of the Bullwhip Effect in a Multistage Supply Chain with Callback Structure considering Two Retailers," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-12, April.
  31. Chiang, Chung-Yean & Lin, Winston T. & Suresh, Nallan C., 2016. "An empirically-simulated investigation of the impact of demand forecasting on the bullwhip effect: Evidence from U.S. auto industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 53-65.
  32. Chatfield, Dean C. & Pritchard, Alan M., 2013. "Returns and the bullwhip effect," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 159-175.
  33. Ahmed Shaban & Mohamed A. Shalaby & Giulio Di Gravio & Riccardo Patriarca, 2020. "Analysis of Variance Amplification and Service Level in a Supply Chain with Correlated Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-27, August.
  34. Lin, Junyi & Huang, Hongfu & Li, Shanshan & Naim, Mohamed M., 2023. "On the dynamics of order pipeline inventory in a nonlinear order-up-to system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
  35. Zhang, Xiaolong & Burke, Gerard J., 2011. "Analysis of compound bullwhip effect causes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 514-526, May.
  36. Sodhi, ManMohan S. & Tang, Christopher S., 2011. "The incremental bullwhip effect of operational deviations in an arborescent supply chain with requirements planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 374-382, December.
  37. Babai, M.Z. & Boylan, J.E. & Syntetos, A.A. & Ali, M.M., 2016. "Reduction of the value of information sharing as demand becomes strongly auto-correlated," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(PA), pages 130-135.
  38. Dass, Mayukh & Reshadi, Mehrnoosh & Li, Yuewu, 2023. "An exploration of ripple effects of advertising among major suppliers in a supply chain network," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
  39. Warren Liao, T. & Chang, P.C., 2010. "Impacts of forecast, inventory policy, and lead time on supply chain inventory--A numerical study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 527-537, December.
  40. Xi Gang Yuan & Nan Zhu, 2016. "Bullwhip Effect Analysis in Two-Level Supply Chain Distribution Network Using Different Demand Forecasting Technology," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 33(03), pages 1-23, June.
  41. Gaalman, Gerard & Disney, Stephen M. & Wang, Xun, 2022. "When bullwhip increases in the lead time: An eigenvalue analysis of ARMA demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
  42. Hosoda, Takamichi & Disney, Stephen M., 2018. "A unified theory of the dynamics of closed-loop supply chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 269(1), pages 313-326.
  43. Layth C. Alwan & Christian H. Weiß, 2017. "INAR implementation of newsvendor model for serially dependent demand counts," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 1085-1099, February.
  44. Demirel, Edil & Özelkan, Ertunga C. & Lim, Churlzu, 2018. "Aggregate planning with Flexibility Requirements Profile," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 45-58.
  45. Tang, Christopher S., 2006. "Perspectives in supply chain risk management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 451-488, October.
  46. Nepal, Bimal & Murat, Alper & Babu Chinnam, Ratna, 2012. "The bullwhip effect in capacitated supply chains with consideration for product life-cycle aspects," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 318-331.
  47. Trapero, Juan R. & Pedregal, Diego J., 2016. "A novel time-varying bullwhip effect metric: An application to promotional sales," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 465-471.
  48. Duc, Truong Ton Hien & Luong, Huynh Trung & Kim, Yeong-Dae, 2008. "A measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains with a mixed autoregressive-moving average demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 243-256, May.
  49. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio & Boylan, John E., 2020. "The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 94-107.
  50. Ton Hien Duc, Truong & Luong, Huynh Trung & Kim, Yeong-Dae, 2010. "Effect of the third-party warehouse on bullwhip effect and inventory cost in supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 395-407, April.
  51. K. Devika & A. Jafarian & A. Hassanzadeh & R. Khodaverdi, 2016. "Optimizing of bullwhip effect and net stock amplification in three-echelon supply chains using evolutionary multi-objective metaheuristics," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 242(2), pages 457-487, July.
  52. Junhai Ma & Xiaogang Ma, 2017. "Measure of the bullwhip effect considering the market competition between two retailers," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(2), pages 313-326, January.
  53. Hosoda, Takamichi & Disney, Stephen M., 2006. "On variance amplification in a three-echelon supply chain with minimum mean square error forecasting," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 344-358, August.
  54. Junhai Ma & Jing Zhang & Liqing Zhu, 2018. "Study of the Bullwhip Effect under Various Forecasting Methods in Electronics Supply Chain with Dual Retailers considering Market Share," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-19, January.
  55. Bivin, David, 2013. "Production chains and aggregate output volatility," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 807-816.
  56. Zbigniew Michna & Peter Nielsen, 2013. "The impact of lead time forecasting on the bullwhip effect," Papers 1309.7374, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
  57. Gardner, Everette Jr., 2006. "Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 637-666.
  58. Bayraktar, Erkan & Lenny Koh, S.C. & Gunasekaran, A. & Sari, Kazim & Tatoglu, Ekrem, 2008. "The role of forecasting on bullwhip effect for E-SCM applications," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(1), pages 193-204, May.
  59. Darmawan, Agus & Wong, Hartanto Wijaya & Fransoo, Jan, 2025. "Supply chain network design with the presence of the bullwhip effect," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
  60. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
  61. Wu, Y. & Zhang, D.Z., 2007. "Demand fluctuation and chaotic behaviour by interaction between customers and suppliers," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 250-259, May.
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