IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/proeco/v181y2016ipap130-135.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reduction of the value of information sharing as demand becomes strongly auto-correlated

Author

Listed:
  • Babai, M.Z.
  • Boylan, J.E.
  • Syntetos, A.A.
  • Ali, M.M.

Abstract

Information sharing has been identified, in the academic literature, as one of the most important levers to mitigate the bullwhip effect in supply chains. A highly-cited article on the bullwhip effect has claimed that the percentage inventory reduction resulting from information sharing in a two level supply chain, when the downstream demand is autoregressive of order one, is an increasing function of the autoregressive parameter of the demand. In this paper we show that this is true only for a certain range of the autoregressive parameter and there is a maximum value beyond which the bullwhip ratio at the upstream stage is reduced and the percentage inventory reduction resulting from information sharing decreases towards zero. We also show that this maximum value of the autoregressive parameter can be as high as 0.7 which represents a common value that may be encountered in many practical contexts. This means that large benefits of information sharing cannot be assumed for those Stock Keeping Units (SKUs) with highly positively auto-correlated demand. Instead, equally careful analysis is needed for these items as for those SKUs with less strongly auto-correlated demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Babai, M.Z. & Boylan, J.E. & Syntetos, A.A. & Ali, M.M., 2016. "Reduction of the value of information sharing as demand becomes strongly auto-correlated," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(PA), pages 130-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:181:y:2016:i:pa:p:130-135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.05.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527315001462
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yao, Yuliang & Dresner, Martin, 2008. "The inventory value of information sharing, continuous replenishment, and vendor-managed inventory," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 361-378, May.
    2. Hau L. Lee & Kut C. So & Christopher S. Tang, 2000. "The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(5), pages 626-643, May.
    3. Srinivasan Raghunathan, 2001. "Information Sharing in a Supply Chain: A Note on its Value when Demand Is Nonstationary," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(4), pages 605-610, April.
    4. Zhang, Xiaolong, 2004. "The impact of forecasting methods on the bullwhip effect," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 15-27, March.
    5. Vishal Gaur & Avi Giloni & Sridhar Seshadri, 2005. "Information Sharing in a Supply Chain Under ARMA Demand," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(6), pages 961-969, June.
    6. Nesim Erkip & Warren H. Hausman & Steven Nahmias, 1990. "Optimal Centralized Ordering Policies in Multi-Echelon Inventory Systems with Correlated Demands," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(3), pages 381-392, March.
    7. Susan Cohen Kulp & Hau L. Lee & Elie Ofek, 2004. "Manufacturer Benefits from Information Integration with Retail Customers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(4), pages 431-444, April.
    8. Kenneth Gilbert, 2005. "An ARIMA Supply Chain Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 305-310, February.
    9. Zhang, Juliang & Chen, Jian, 2013. "Coordination of information sharing in a supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 178-187.
    10. Tonya Boone & Ram Ganeshan, 2008. "The Value of Information Sharing in the Retail Supply Chain: Two Case Studies," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 9, pages 12-17, Spring.
    11. Gérard P. Cachon, 1999. "Managing Supply Chain Demand Variability with Scheduled Ordering Policies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(6), pages 843-856, June.
    12. Agrawal, Sunil & Sengupta, Raghu Nandan & Shanker, Kripa, 2009. "Impact of information sharing and lead time on bullwhip effect and on-hand inventory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 576-593, January.
    13. Ciancimino, Elena & Cannella, Salvatore & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Framinan, Jose M., 2012. "On the Bullwhip Avoidance Phase: The Synchronised Supply Chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 49-63.
    14. Disney, Stephen M. & Lambrecht, Marc R., 2008. "On Replenishment Rules, Forecasting, and the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains," Foundations and Trends(R) in Technology, Information and Operations Management, now publishers, vol. 2(1), pages 1-80, April.
    15. Babai, M.Z. & Ali, M.M. & Boylan, J.E. & Syntetos, A.A., 2013. "Forecasting and inventory performance in a two-stage supply chain with ARIMA(0,1,1) demand: Theory and empirical analysis," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 463-471.
    16. Luong, Huynh Trung, 2007. "Measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains with autoregressive demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 180(3), pages 1086-1097, August.
    17. Machuca, José A. D. & Barajas, Rafael P., 2004. "The impact of electronic data interchange on reducing bullwhip effect and supply chain inventory costs," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 209-228, May.
    18. Dejonckheere, J. & Disney, S. M. & Lambrecht, M. R. & Towill, D. R., 2003. "Measuring and avoiding the bullwhip effect: A control theoretic approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 567-590, June.
    19. Disney, S. M. & Naim, M. M. & Potter, A., 2004. "Assessing the impact of e-business on supply chain dynamics," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 109-118, May.
    20. Gérard P. Cachon & Marshall Fisher, 2000. "Supply Chain Inventory Management and the Value of Shared Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(8), pages 1032-1048, August.
    21. Trapero, Juan R. & Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 2012. "Impact of information exchange on supplier forecasting performance," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 738-747.
    22. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    23. Xiaolong Zhang, 2004. "Evolution of ARMA Demand in Supply Chains," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 6(2), pages 195-198, April.
    24. Noblesse, Ann M. & Boute, Robert N. & Lambrecht, Marc R. & Van Houdt, Benny, 2014. "Characterizing order processes of continuous review (s,S) and (r,nQ) policies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(2), pages 534-547.
    25. Luong, Huynh Trung & Phien, Nguyen Huu, 2007. "Measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains: The case of high order autoregressive demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 183(1), pages 197-209, November.
    26. Hosoda, Takamichi & Disney, Stephen M., 2006. "On variance amplification in a three-echelon supply chain with minimum mean square error forecasting," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 344-358, August.
    27. Raghunathan, Srinivasan, 2003. "Impact of demand correlation on the value of and incentives for information sharing in a supply chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 634-649, May.
    28. Ali, Mohammad M. & Boylan, John E. & Syntetos, Aris A., 2012. "Forecast errors and inventory performance under forecast information sharing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 830-841.
    29. Dejonckheere, J. & Disney, S. M. & Lambrecht, M. R. & Towill, D. R., 2004. "The impact of information enrichment on the Bullwhip effect in supply chains: A control engineering perspective," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 153(3), pages 727-750, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dominguez, Roberto & Cannella, Salvatore & Ponte, Borja & Framinan, Jose M., 2020. "On the dynamics of closed-loop supply chains under remanufacturing lead time variability," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio & Boylan, John E., 2020. "The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 94-107.
    3. Sun, Zhengwei & Hupman, Andrea C. & Abbas, Ali E., 2021. "The value of information for price dependent demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(2), pages 511-522.
    4. Dominguez, Roberto & Cannella, Salvatore & Barbosa-Póvoa, Ana P. & Framinan, Jose M., 2018. "OVAP: A strategy to implement partial information sharing among supply chain retailers," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 122-136.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:181:y:2016:i:pa:p:130-135. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Haili He). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijpe .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.