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Bullwhip Effect Demand Variation and Amplification within Supply Chains

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  • Ionel Elena-Simona

    (1 Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Miron Alexandra-Dorina

    (2 Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

The consumers of the present, and especially those of the future, no longer expect products and services in themselves, but the maximization of the satisfaction they promise. In addition, today’s consumer has a complex consumption behavior, is increasingly well informed, knows what he wants to receive and reacts quite firmly if his expectations are not considered by suppliers. For these reasons, at the level of specialized literature but also at the level of business practice, an innovative business philosophy, called the bullwhip effect, according to which demand variation or amplification, is progressive augmentation or diminishing of the demand, has become increasingly interesting to study. That is ascendingly propagating within the supply chain driving order variation to grow exponentially from the final consumer to the raw material supplier. The main thematic axes analyzed during this paper concerned: supply chains growing complexity both as an effect and a cause of the asymmetries that are observed at the level of demand-offer equilibrium; relevant correlations and causal relationships identifiable between the determinants of the general or specific environment in which a company is operating and the optimization together with the efficiency of the activities developed by it can be anticipated by adopting various business models; how distorted demand is propagating within the supply chain; the bullwhip effect as an amplification phenomenon inside the supply chain. The authors of this paper opted for a combination of positivist-type research, prioritizing the main causes of the bullwhip effect, and a phenomenological-type research, during which the most robust of the correlations supporting the starting hypotheses were highlighted. Therefore, we believe that increased attention to minimizing the bullwhip effect within organizations will lead to improved performance of supply chains and, implicitly, of the companies involved. This remains an area of significant interest in scientific research as well as in the practice of commercial entities focused on increasing profits.

Suggested Citation

  • Ionel Elena-Simona & Miron Alexandra-Dorina, 2023. "Bullwhip Effect Demand Variation and Amplification within Supply Chains," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 246-253, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:vrs:poicbe:v:17:y:2023:i:1:p:246-253:n:35
    DOI: 10.2478/picbe-2023-0026
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nick Bostrom, 2019. "The Vulnerable World Hypothesis," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 10(4), pages 455-476, November.
    2. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    3. Babai, M.Z. & Boylan, J.E. & Syntetos, A.A. & Ali, M.M., 2016. "Reduction of the value of information sharing as demand becomes strongly auto-correlated," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(PA), pages 130-135.
    4. Virgil Popa, 2013. "The Financial Supply Chain Management: a New Solution for Supply Chain Resilience," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(33), pages 140-153, February.
    5. Dejian Yu & Zhaoping Yan, 2021. "Knowledge diffusion of supply chain bullwhip effect: main path analysis and science mapping analysis," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(10), pages 8491-8515, October.
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